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LESL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-26 → 2024-07-18

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Leslie's, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC (SIC 5990)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 2020 🔗 www.lesliespool.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.3M 👥 Employees: 3,790
Leslies Inc is a direct-to-consumer pool and spa care brand offering a comprehensive assortment of products, including chemicals, equipment and parts, cleaning and maintenance equipment, and safety, recreational, and fitness-related products. The company serves residential pool, residential spa, professional pool, and commercial pool consumers and markets its products through over 1,000 company-operated locations in 39 states and e-commerce websites, operating only in the United States. It operates mainly in the pool and spa aftermarket industry and offers regularly purchased, non-discretionary maintenance items, along with installation and repair services for pool and spa equipment.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+6.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -2.28%
Best: +6.02%
Worst: -6.56%
Trades: 3/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -4.67%
Best: +7.80%
Worst: -10.62%
Trades: 6/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -5.39%
Best: +8.31%
Worst: -11.88%
Trades: 6/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.67%
Avg Winner: +6.98%
Avg Loser: -7.21%
Best: +14.44%
Worst: -15.48%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.26%
Best MFE: +14.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 159 min

On average, LESL alerts reach +6.26% profit potential within 159 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.24%
Worst MAE: -4.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, LESL typically reaches +6.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 22.2%
Avg Gap -0.75%
Best Gap +0.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-RETAIL STORES, NEC

How LESL compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LESL: +0.24% Sector: -0.35% +0.59%
EOD Gain
LESL: +0.67% Sector: +74.89% -74.21%
Avg MFE
LESL: +6.26% Sector: +5.14% +1.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LESL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-18 09:29:06 $3.2 -0.31% -6.56% -10.62% -11.88% -11.56% +8.12% -1.25% -1.25% LOSS
2024-07-09 09:25:41 $3.24 +0.15% +0.94% +1.54% +0.15% +0.31% +3.86% -0.93% -0.62% WIN
2023-11-29 09:28:00 $4.57 +0.86% +4.05% +2.52% +0.16% +14.44% +14.44% -2.41% -1.53% WIN
2023-07-18 09:28:00 $5.46 -0.16% -1.10% -0.64% +5.31% +4.03% +6.23% -2.01% -0.55% LOSS
2023-07-17 09:29:00 $6.46 +1.32% -1.01% +0.54% -2.71% -15.48% +2.17% -1.08% - WIN
2023-07-14 09:26:00 $5.9 +2.37% +6.02% +7.80% +8.31% +13.56% +13.90% -4.75% -2.37% WIN
2023-03-10 09:26:00 $12.08 -0.33% -2.48% -2.73% -1.57% -0.17% +1.20% -3.68% +0.58% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $11.8 -1.44% - +1.74% +2.50% +2.54% +3.56% -3.14% -1.44% LOSS
2022-09-26 09:25:00 $14.81 -0.30% -0.27% +0.44% +1.96% -1.62% +2.84% -0.88% +0.41% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on LESL

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LESL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LESL Strategy →

Why Analyze LESL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LESL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LESL historically offers an average upside of +6.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LESL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LESL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LESL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.