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JD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 673 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

JD.com, Inc.
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 22, 2014 🔗 www.jd.com
💰 Market Cap: $42.26B 👥 Employees: 900,000
JD.com is the third-largest Chinese e-commerce platform by gross merchandise volume in 2024. It offers a wide selection of authentic products with speedy and reliable delivery. The company has built its own nationwide fulfilment infrastructure and last-mile delivery network, staffed by its own employees, which supports both its online direct sales, its online marketplace, and omnichannel businesses.
📊
673
Total Alerts
🎯
48.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.78%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +4.94%
Worst: -5.97%
Trades: 328/337

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +5.14%
Worst: -4.80%
Trades: 327/338

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +5.89%
Worst: -7.34%
Trades: 325/341

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +10.40%
Worst: -8.30%
Trades: 316/349

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +12.60%
Worst: -11.33%
Trades: 317/348

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.78%
Best MFE: +15.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, JD alerts reach +1.78% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.69%
Worst MAE: -8.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 673 alerts, JD typically reaches +1.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 673
Gap Up % 44.3%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +3.97%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:56 $41.98 -1.10% -1.67% -0.49% -1.98% -1.43% +0.57% -0.52% +0.07% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:36 $38.5 +0.57% +0.75% +0.86% +1.35% +2.83% +3.01% -1.71% -0.91% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:33 $39.99 -1.79% -1.74% -1.79% -1.96% -1.70% +0.10% -0.03% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:37 $41.24 -0.58% -1.45% +0.02% -0.15% -1.07% +0.73% -2.04% -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:26:55 $41.37 -0.31% -0.94% -1.16% +0.74% +1.93% +2.27% -1.74% +0.14% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:25 $40.61 +0.94% +0.35% +0.64% +0.36% -1.08% +1.77% -0.05% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:10 $40.51 -0.40% -0.80% -1.00% -0.51% -1.23% +0.32% -0.15% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:57 $40.3 -0.29% +0.59% +0.30% -0.06% -1.22% +0.62% -0.87% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:27 $41.58 +0.79% +0.61% +0.51% +0.84% -1.01% +1.61% -0.32% +0.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:36 $39.12 +1.12% +2.90% +2.61% +3.68% +2.33% +4.65% -0.59% -0.46% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:40 $41.14 +0.33% +0.52% +0.17% +0.26% -2.14% +0.80% -0.46% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:29 $40.77 -1.25% -1.82% -1.59% -1.47% -1.15% -0.12% -0.27% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:28 $39.82 +0.25% -0.08% -0.20% -0.23% +2.26% +2.41% -0.62% -0.04% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:22 $38.99 +0.21% +0.10% +0.23% +0.74% +0.33% +1.05% -0.82% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:37 $40.24 -0.94% -3.01% -3.41% -3.80% -4.32% +0.15% -0.22% -0.52% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:25 $37.45 +0.07% +1.79% +4.14% +2.90% +4.14% +4.78% -0.64% -0.21% WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:20 $35.56 -0.20% -0.53% -0.31% -0.11% -0.53% +0.39% -0.28% +0.39% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:57 $35.06 -0.67% -0.47% -0.93% -0.90% -0.91% +0.80% -0.17% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:13 $33.66 -1.08% -0.95% -1.17% -1.19% -1.66% - - -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:54 $34.6 -0.09% -0.64% -0.49% -0.65% +0.35% +0.75% -0.35% +0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ JD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.9% win rate and -0.02% average gain, JD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze JD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JD historically offers an average upside of +1.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.9%, JD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests JD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.