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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MRLN

Trade-Ideas alerts 42.4% at 60-min n=33 2026-03-24 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 33 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 17, 2026 🔗 www.merlinlabs.com
💰 Market Cap: $172.8M
Merlin Inc develops software that fulfills the functions of a human pilot in self-flying aircraft to enable both reduced crew and unmanned flight. This technology is designed to be scalable and adaptable across different aircraft types for a growing range of aircraft platforms. The company's aircraft-agnostic, AI-powered software is purpose-built for military and civil programs, and is powering an expanding range of missions and aircraft, through hundreds of autonomous flights from test facilities across the globe. It operates as a single operating and reportable segment.
Total alerts
33
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
42.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-1.63%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.45%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MRLN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +4.96%
Worst: -6.63%
Trades: 11/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.67%
Avg Winner: +3.40%
Avg Loser: -4.62%
Best: +8.99%
Worst: -11.63%
Trades: 11/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -2.16%
Avg Winner: +5.63%
Avg Loser: -5.09%
Best: +14.92%
Worst: -15.13%
Trades: 9/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -1.63%
Avg Winner: +4.39%
Avg Loser: -6.40%
Best: +15.85%
Worst: -14.38%
Trades: 14/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.55%
Avg Winner: +4.70%
Avg Loser: -6.47%
Best: +17.89%
Worst: -13.68%
Trades: 11/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.45%
Best MFE: +23.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 64 min

On average, MRLN alerts reach +5.45% profit potential within 64 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.39%
Worst MAE: -7.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, MRLN typically reaches +5.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 33
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.75%
Best Gap +1.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

How MRLN compares to 37 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MRLN: -0.79% Sector: -0.01% -0.79%
EOD Gain
MRLN: -2.55% Sector: +2292.16% -2294.71%
Avg MFE
MRLN: +5.45% Sector: +6.58% -1.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRLN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $1.84 +0.00% -4.35% -1.90% -1.09% -7.07% +0.54% -0.54% +0.54% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $1.8 -1.60% -1.32% -1.32% +4.53% +4.52% +8.69% -2.71% -0.48% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $1.77 -2.25% -1.41% -1.13% +0.56% +0.28% +3.38% -2.82% -1.41% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $1.92 -1.04% -2.71% -4.43% -3.23% -8.85% +2.60% +2.60% +0.52% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $1.92 -1.82% +0.00% +2.86% +3.41% +3.65% +8.33% -3.65% -1.04% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $1.87 -2.13% -5.08% -4.55% -5.62% -5.35% +0.00% -0.53% -1.07% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $1.97 +2.54% +2.54% -1.78% +0.25% -5.58% +5.08% +0.00% +1.52% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $2.11 -3.08% -3.32% -3.03% -10.19% -7.58% +0.00% -1.90% -1.90% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $2.28 -2.63% +0.00% -0.66% +0.00% -9.65% +5.26% -4.39% -0.44% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $3.05 -4.92% -5.74% -4.10% -4.26% -7.87% -0.98% -5.08% -2.30% LOSS
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $4.15 -3.61% -9.64% -9.59% -9.64% -9.52% +0.00% -3.86% +0.00% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $3.28 +1.52% +8.99% +14.92% +15.85% +7.47% +20.12% -0.91% +0.91% WIN
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $3.75 +1.48% +2.14% +4.81% +7.88% +2.14% +11.75% -0.79% +0.01% WIN
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $3.75 -0.69% -2.08% -5.33% -2.67% -2.93% +1.33% -1.07% +0.93% LOSS
2026-07-10 09:25:00 $4.65 -3.00% -2.57% -7.41% -9.03% -7.52% -1.28% -5.16% -3.22% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $4.5 -0.89% -2.78% -3.33% -6.60% +0.00% +2.44% -7.67% -0.44% LOSS
2026-07-01 09:25:00 $5.74 -1.62% -1.88% -0.75% +1.72% -1.54% +3.69% -3.63% -2.23% LOSS
2026-06-26 09:25:00 $5.05 +0.10% +1.58% -0.74% -0.99% -1.78% +2.18% -0.79% +0.00% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $6.04 +1.49% +2.32% +2.40% +1.16% -0.66% +4.89% +0.17% +0.50% WIN
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $6.95 +4.96% +5.61% +5.68% +4.46% +0.58% +7.77% +0.58% +0.58% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MRLN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.4% win rate and -1.63% average gain, MRLN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MRLN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MRLN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRLN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRLN historically offers an average upside of +5.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRLN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.4%, MRLN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MRLN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MRLN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -1.63%). This suggests MRLN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.