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IONQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 746 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 04, 2021 🔗 www.ionq.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.74B 👥 Employees: 407
IonQ Inc sells access to several quantum computers of various qubit capacities and is in the process of researching and developing technologies for quantum computers with increasing computational capabilities. The company currently makes access to its quantum computers available via cloud platforms and also to select customers via its own cloud service. This cloud-based approach enables the broad availability of quantum-computing-as-a-service (QCaaS). The company derives its revenue from its quantum-computing-as-a-service arrangements, consulting services related to co-developing algorithms on company's quantum computing systems and contracts associated with the design, development, and construction of specialized quantum computing systems together with related services.
📊
746
Total Alerts
🎯
47.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.16%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +11.15%
Worst: -8.24%
Trades: 338/381

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +17.62%
Worst: -19.77%
Trades: 342/395

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.64%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +19.89%
Worst: -18.39%
Trades: 350/385

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.17%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +21.81%
Worst: -24.30%
Trades: 341/397

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +4.68%
Avg Loser: -4.03%
Best: +37.16%
Worst: -21.88%
Trades: 348/393

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.16%
Best MFE: +40.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, IONQ alerts reach +4.16% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.38%
Worst MAE: -9.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 746 alerts, IONQ typically reaches +4.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 746
Gap Up % 33.8%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +2.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

How IONQ compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IONQ: -0.02% Sector: -0.04% +0.02%
EOD Gain
IONQ: +0.06% Sector: +3632.71% -3632.65%
Avg MFE
IONQ: +4.16% Sector: +5.44% -1.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IONQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:36 $38.29 -1.73% -1.19% -1.20% -0.95% -2.17% +0.76% -0.76% +0.29% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:01 $38.59 -1.32% -1.79% -1.74% -0.88% +0.16% +0.67% -2.80% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:49 $38.01 +0.18% +0.66% +1.16% +0.05% -0.03% +3.47% -1.32% -0.03% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:28 $41.86 -0.55% -2.75% -0.16% -2.91% -9.94% +1.50% -4.06% -0.14% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:40 $39.49 +0.67% +1.77% +2.05% +2.56% +4.00% +8.51% -0.79% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:32 $41.71 +1.05% +1.68% +2.66% +3.80% -2.73% +5.42% -1.03% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:57 $42.68 +3.37% -0.75% -2.04% -1.08% -3.30% +3.89% -0.45% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-05 09:28:38 $42.24 -4.71% -3.88% -3.50% -2.49% +0.19% +3.20% -6.13% +0.07% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:11 $41.78 +3.12% +4.82% +3.06% +2.39% +0.19% +6.73% +0.10% +0.26% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:19 $37.75 -0.43% +0.29% +1.46% +1.62% +9.85% +12.26% -1.56% -0.93% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:29:10 $38.88 +3.45% +3.35% +5.71% +9.85% +1.57% +10.55% +0.03% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:36 $40.15 +2.57% +2.91% +1.50% -0.34% -3.34% +3.81% -0.22% +0.75% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:20 $38.93 +1.54% +1.41% +1.40% -0.22% +1.57% +4.29% -0.28% +0.85% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:53 $39.73 -4.48% -5.24% -2.67% -2.44% -2.19% +1.59% -0.08% +0.70% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:03 $37.89 +2.60% +3.54% +6.91% +5.75% +1.72% +11.16% -2.35% +0.34% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:30 $41.47 +1.45% +0.77% +0.22% +5.30% -1.71% +6.66% -0.58% +0.53% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:22 $41.09 +5.72% +4.14% +0.51% +1.46% +0.63% +6.94% -0.17% +0.85% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:40 $45.25 -0.75% -2.02% -1.15% -3.76% -7.09% +0.22% -2.67% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:16 $39.16 +2.91% +8.14% +7.66% +8.38% +15.70% +16.34% -0.92% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:45 $40.1 +0.55% +1.92% +1.27% +1.77% -3.02% +5.61% -1.87% -0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ IONQ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.0% win rate and -0.01% average gain, IONQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider IONQ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze IONQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IONQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IONQ historically offers an average upside of +4.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IONQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.0%, IONQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests IONQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: IONQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests IONQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.