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NBIS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 48 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-10-21 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (48 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Nebius Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 24, 2011 🔗 www.group.nebius.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.03B 👥 Employees: 1,371
Nebius is a vertically integrated cloud provider focusing on AI and high-performance computing. It is a carve-out of the previous Russian tech firm Yandex, following the Russian sanctions since the Ukraine-Russia war. Nebius designs and operates its own data centers and servers across Europe and the US, with a total capacity of several hundred megawatts. In September 2025, Microsoft became a major Nebius client under a multiyear $17 billion revenue agreement to provide computing capacity.
📊
48
Total Alerts
🎯
56.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.63%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+6.25%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: -4.40%
Trades: 20/27

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -3.06%
Best: +12.76%
Worst: -10.44%
Trades: 22/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: +15.70%
Worst: -10.35%
Trades: 25/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +4.15%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +15.10%
Worst: -13.72%
Trades: 27/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: +1.24%
Avg Winner: +6.93%
Avg Loser: -5.49%
Best: +37.93%
Worst: -22.22%
Trades: 26/22

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.25%
Best MFE: +40.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, NBIS alerts reach +6.25% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.06%
Worst MAE: -7.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 48 alerts, NBIS typically reaches +6.25% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 48
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +0.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NBIS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:51 $45.14 -2.22% -5.12% -0.84% +1.69% -1.44% +5.63% -7.73% -0.31% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:06 $40.19 -1.61% -1.99% -1.59% -1.67% +3.76% +4.08% -3.76% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:32 $39.79 +0.41% -0.28% +0.74% +1.28% -1.23% +2.11% -1.28% -0.33% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:25 $40.07 +1.82% +2.05% +2.46% +3.26% +3.37% +5.91% -0.27% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:58 $39.36 -0.15% -0.36% +1.26% +1.51% +4.09% +4.93% -1.70% -1.38% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:19 $35.24 +2.36% +2.50% +5.01% +5.18% +8.20% +12.09% -0.94% +0.28% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:18 $34.05 -0.23% -1.41% +0.38% +0.22% +1.47% +2.38% -4.17% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:55 $34.09 -0.56% -1.10% -0.32% -0.23% +1.20% +2.58% -3.17% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:39 $29.8 +5.03% +5.87% +3.79% +7.18% +11.78% +14.53% -0.67% +0.58% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:50 $32.9 -2.29% +0.24% -0.45% +3.29% -0.73% +5.14% -2.86% -1.49% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:13 $31.31 +2.44% -1.84% +2.20% +5.37% +1.56% +6.68% -2.08% -0.35% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:49 $29.7 -0.51% +1.09% +3.57% +3.37% +0.10% +5.52% -1.01% -0.51% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:20 $28.26 -2.65% -2.52% +0.23% -0.85% +6.48% +7.01% -5.52% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:05 $33.53 -2.38% -10.41% -10.35% -13.72% -22.22% +0.24% -1.28% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:26 $39.4 +2.37% +1.45% +4.70% +7.82% +5.81% +10.81% -0.38% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:30 $38.29 +2.25% +0.98% +1.36% +3.15% +0.91% +4.57% -0.37% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:18 $38.29 +1.44% +2.25% +0.01% +3.76% +3.21% +6.97% -1.02% +0.29% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:04 $38.39 -1.98% -2.68% -3.74% -5.67% -6.12% - -0.94% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:19 $37.1 -0.45% -0.94% -2.02% -2.70% +1.32% +3.69% -3.50% - LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:18 $37.6 +0.62% +0.66% +2.66% +3.46% -1.54% +4.73% -0.80% -0.19% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.2% Baseline on NBIS

The 56.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NBIS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NBIS Strategy →

Why Analyze NBIS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NBIS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NBIS historically offers an average upside of +6.25% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NBIS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, NBIS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NBIS performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.