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META Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 621 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. (SIC 7370)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 18, 2012 🔗 about.meta.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.66T 👥 Employees: 78,450
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
📊
621
Total Alerts
🎯
57.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.59%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.5%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.60%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 356/261

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.6%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +4.06%
Worst: -4.37%
Trades: 338/281

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +6.92%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 340/278

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +5.47%
Worst: -4.32%
Trades: 330/289

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +7.73%
Worst: -5.49%
Trades: 328/293

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.59%
Best MFE: +7.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, META alerts reach +1.59% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -3.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 621 alerts, META typically reaches +1.59% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 621
Gap Up % 52.0%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How META compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
META: +0.08% Sector: -0.08% +0.15%
EOD Gain
META: +0.15% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.05%
Avg MFE
META: +1.59% Sector: +3.14% -1.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical META alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:21 $726.98 +0.50% +0.18% +0.50% +0.39% +1.33% +1.92% -0.19% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:12 $722.87 -0.05% -0.13% +0.13% +0.27% +0.79% +0.85% -0.67% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:04 $715.0 +0.07% +0.43% +0.64% +0.76% +1.45% +1.69% -0.34% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:35 $713.82 -0.08% -0.18% +0.17% +0.43% +0.84% +1.38% -0.53% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:53 $719.18 +0.04% -0.24% -0.51% -0.75% -0.25% +0.28% -0.44% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:16 $715.19 +0.91% +0.79% +0.96% +0.33% -0.09% +1.37% -0.02% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:10 $707.5 -0.42% -0.33% +0.78% +1.15% +0.63% +1.61% -0.57% -0.23% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:52 $702.11 +0.59% +1.62% +1.67% +1.47% +0.39% +2.28% -0.18% +0.21% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:41 $702.42 -0.54% -1.30% -0.93% -0.52% +0.25% +0.75% -1.54% +0.01% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:28 $675.53 +0.82% +2.81% +2.60% +2.25% +3.25% +4.21% -0.09% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:42 $692.57 +0.32% +0.35% +1.69% +1.25% -0.49% +1.84% -0.41% -0.23% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:52 $695.01 -0.36% +1.16% +1.99% +1.18% -1.15% +2.27% -1.11% +0.26% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:38 $675.9 -0.50% -1.49% -1.08% -0.87% +0.09% +0.76% -1.51% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:53 $668.26 +0.63% +0.11% +0.09% -0.34% +0.91% +2.14% -1.32% -0.34% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:35 $625.82 +1.31% +1.09% +2.09% +3.52% +5.44% +6.08% -0.12% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:12 $636.34 +0.88% +1.50% +0.98% +0.75% +1.75% +2.46% -0.34% +0.01% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:18 $627.74 -0.69% -0.53% -0.49% -0.30% +1.39% +1.41% -1.05% -0.06% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:57 $624.0 -0.17% -0.40% +0.06% +0.50% -0.08% +1.55% -0.73% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:14 $616.93 +0.18% +0.11% -0.29% -0.36% -0.08% +0.74% -0.15% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:11 $625.08 -0.87% -1.66% -1.69% -2.81% -1.97% -0.02% -0.62% -0.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.5% Baseline on META

The 57.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push META's performance to 75%+.

Optimize META Strategy →

Why Analyze META with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for META. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, META historically offers an average upside of +1.59% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 META Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.5%, META shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show META performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.