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GOOG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 604 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 19, 2004 🔗 www.abc.xyz
💰 Market Cap: $3.96T 👥 Employees: 190,167
Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV and YouTube Music, among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue. The firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) make up the rest.
📊
604
Total Alerts
🎯
59.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.20%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 59.3%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 357/242

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.6%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +3.31%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 353/247

30MIN

Win Rate: 59.8%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -3.64%
Trades: 360/242

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +3.92%
Worst: -4.51%
Trades: 343/259

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.1%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +6.70%
Worst: -95.12%
Trades: 339/264

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.29%
Best MFE: +6.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 136 min

On average, GOOG alerts reach +1.29% profit potential within 136 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -2.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 604 alerts, GOOG typically reaches +1.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 604
Gap Up % 56.3%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +0.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How GOOG compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GOOG: +0.13% Sector: -0.08% +0.21%
EOD Gain
GOOG: -0.32% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.51%
Avg MFE
GOOG: +1.29% Sector: +3.14% -1.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GOOG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:40 $187.08 +0.02% +0.29% +0.15% -0.12% -0.11% +0.57% -0.47% -0.13% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:26 $186.21 -0.21% -0.54% -0.35% -0.03% +0.90% +0.96% -0.71% -0.15% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:21 $185.11 -0.06% +0.52% +0.53% +0.01% +0.17% +0.93% -0.80% +0.06% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:24 $186.68 +0.98% +0.48% +0.51% +0.66% +0.21% +1.14% -0.06% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:06 $188.62 -0.42% +0.00% -0.28% +0.47% -0.22% +0.73% -0.54% +0.23% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:33 $192.8 -0.43% -0.31% -0.87% -2.19% -2.94% +0.11% -0.54% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:55 $190.88 +0.72% +0.31% +0.35% +0.67% +1.27% +1.55% -0.20% +0.06% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:34 $193.05 -0.38% -0.09% -0.73% -1.50% +0.13% +0.78% -1.34% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:03 $204.53 +0.23% +0.39% +0.53% +1.16% +1.55% +2.06% -0.37% -0.01% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:59 $201.54 +0.72% +0.78% +0.74% +0.90% +0.55% +1.83% -0.19% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:43 $203.76 +0.45% +0.70% +1.25% +0.92% +0.90% +1.63% -0.11% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:57 $198.89 +1.27% +1.35% +2.00% +1.44% +1.88% +2.19% -0.02% +0.44% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:10 $197.43 -0.20% -0.78% -0.92% -0.85% -0.13% +0.52% -1.13% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:39 $194.85 -0.17% -0.77% -0.37% +0.72% +1.14% +1.22% -1.15% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:02 $194.08 +0.35% +0.62% +0.99% +1.22% -0.16% +2.37% -0.08% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:19 $199.57 +0.78% +0.80% +0.89% +0.50% +1.17% +1.50% -0.04% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:22 $199.78 -0.14% +0.54% +0.21% +0.29% -0.10% +1.08% -0.42% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:55 $200.83 +0.13% +0.39% +0.42% +0.12% -0.40% +0.64% -0.21% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:36 $200.64 +1.44% -0.29% +0.17% +0.54% -0.50% +1.59% -0.16% -0.06% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:41 $198.46 -0.70% -1.22% -1.42% -1.25% -0.46% +0.18% -1.59% -0.21% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 59.8% Baseline on GOOG

The 59.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GOOG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GOOG Strategy →

Why Analyze GOOG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GOOG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GOOG historically offers an average upside of +1.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GOOG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 59.8%, GOOG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GOOG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.