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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$NGG

Trade-Ideas alerts 61.5% at 60-min n=13 2022-01-13 → 2026-06-09

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 13 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 08, 1999 🔗 www.nationalgrid.com
💰 Market Cap: $76.53B 👥 Employees: 31,645
National Grid owns and operates the electric transmission system in England and Wales. It sold the bulk of its UK gas transmission business in fiscal 2023 to fund the acquisition of PPL's UK power distribution assets. In the Northeastern United States, it serves electricity and gas customers combined in three states. It also owns regulated transmission electricity networks in the United States, metering services and merchant transmission lines in the UK.
Total alerts
13
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
61.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.76%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NGG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 4/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 5/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +0.98%
Worst: -1.52%
Trades: 5/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 61.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 8/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.5%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -8.28%
Trades: 8/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.76%
Best MFE: +1.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 234 min

On average, NGG alerts reach +0.76% profit potential within 234 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.33%
Worst MAE: -0.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 50 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, NGG typically reaches +0.76% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 46.2%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Natural Gas Transmission

How NGG compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NGG: -0.05% Sector: -0.07% +0.02%
EOD Gain
NGG: -0.51% Sector: +0.00% -0.51%
Avg MFE
NGG: +0.76% Sector: +1.21% -0.46%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NGG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-09 09:25:00 $80.88 -0.21% -0.26% -0.46% -0.25% +0.25% +0.25% -0.68% -0.10% LOSS
2026-05-15 09:25:00 $82.03 -0.27% -1.21% -1.52% -2.61% -1.69% +0.20% -0.51% -0.25% LOSS
2026-05-13 09:25:00 $86.34 +0.32% +0.41% +0.49% +0.42% +0.74% +0.98% -0.09% +0.34% WIN
2026-04-09 09:25:00 $89.76 -0.01% +0.53% +0.98% +0.74% +0.62% +1.30% -0.12% -0.04% LOSS
2026-03-24 09:25:00 $81.9 -0.18% +0.20% +0.51% +0.94% +0.53% +1.31% -0.28% -0.22% LOSS
2026-03-23 09:25:00 $82.66 +0.08% +0.24% +0.34% +0.86% -0.73% +1.23% -0.01% +0.19% WIN
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $89.3 -0.10% +0.04% +0.04% +0.12% +0.63% +0.86% -0.38% +0.06% LOSS
2026-02-19 09:25:00 $89.97 -0.12% -0.02% -0.19% +0.00% +0.33% +0.59% -0.40% +0.04% LOSS
2026-02-17 09:25:00 $92.94 +0.19% -0.49% -0.06% +0.05% -0.56% +0.31% +0.31% +0.06% WIN
2023-11-20 09:27:00 $64.15 -0.14% -0.19% -0.03% +0.20% +1.62% +1.78% -0.45% -0.05% LOSS
2023-08-21 09:26:00 $61.18 -0.03% -0.29% -0.38% -0.59% +0.07% +0.10% -0.64% -0.03% LOSS
2023-05-15 09:28:00 $73.62 -0.20% -0.39% -0.53% -0.54% -0.10% +0.10% -0.90% +0.01% LOSS
2022-01-13 09:25:00 $72.64 +0.01% +0.00% -0.08% +0.06% -8.28% +0.81% -0.18% -0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ NGG Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 61.5% win rate, NGG has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making NGG profitable.

🔧 Fix NGG Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze NGG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NGG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NGG historically offers an average upside of +0.76% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NGG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.5%, NGG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.00%) outweigh average wins (+0.42%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NGG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests NGG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.