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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$NMR

Trade-Ideas alerts 38.5% at EOD n=13 2024-08-05 → 2026-03-19

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 13 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 16, 1995 🔗 www.nomuraholdings.com
💰 Market Cap: $28.44B 👥 Employees: 28,677
Nomura Holdings Inc is a financial services group in Japan and operates offices in countries and regions world-wide, including Japan, the U.S., the U.K., Singapore, and the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region ("Hong Kong") through its subsidiaries. The company's clients include individuals, corporations, financial institutions, governments, and governmental agencies. The company's business consists of Wealth Management*, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the wholesale segment. The Wholesale Division consists of two businesses, Global Markets, which is mainly engaged in the trading, sales, and structuring of financial products, and Investment Banking, which is engaged in advisory, financing, and solutions businesses.
Total alerts
13
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
38.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.44%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.38%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading NMR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 15.4%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.05%
Worst: -1.87%
Trades: 2/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +2.99%
Worst: -2.00%
Trades: 4/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +3.31%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 4/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +3.42%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 4/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.16%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +6.41%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 5/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.38%
Best MFE: +7.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, NMR alerts reach +1.38% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.63%
Worst MAE: -2.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, NMR typically reaches +1.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 30.8%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

How NMR compares to 21 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NMR: -0.24% Sector: -0.09% -0.16%
EOD Gain
NMR: +0.49% Sector: +0.16% +0.33%
Avg MFE
NMR: +1.46% Sector: +2.83% -1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NMR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $7.56 -0.40% +0.00% +0.60% +0.20% +1.32% +2.12% -0.79% +0.00% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $8.02 -1.87% -2.00% -2.12% -2.12% +1.62% +2.37% -2.99% -0.37% LOSS
2026-01-15 09:25:00 $9.55 -1.05% -1.31% -1.42% -1.31% -1.68% +0.00% +0.00% -1.36% LOSS
2026-01-05 09:25:00 $8.71 -0.69% -0.80% -0.92% -0.52% -0.34% +0.00% +0.00% -1.26% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:25:14 $5.89 -0.34% -0.51% -0.49% -0.59% -0.68% +0.00% -0.34% -0.17% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:27:18 $5.12 -0.40% -0.08% -0.29% -0.78% -0.20% +0.59% -0.78% -0.78% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:25:07 $5.36 +2.05% +1.49% +1.49% +1.40% +0.37% +2.05% +0.93% +1.31% WIN
2024-09-30 09:28:37 $5.3 -0.75% -0.85% -1.51% -1.60% -1.51% +0.38% -0.57% +0.38% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:28:12 $5.5 -0.09% +0.09% +0.00% -0.09% +0.00% +0.55% -0.91% +0.00% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:29:46 $5.45 -0.28% -0.09% -0.55% -0.73% -0.55% +0.46% +0.00% +0.37% LOSS
2024-08-27 09:27:23 $5.79 -0.69% - -0.09% -0.09% -0.17% +0.35% -1.73% -1.04% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:26:52 $5.59 -0.09% +0.27% +0.63% +0.89% +1.07% +1.41% -0.54% -0.18% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:53 $4.68 +0.96% +2.99% +3.31% +3.42% +6.41% +7.66% -0.43% +1.28% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 38.5% Baseline on NMR

The 38.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push NMR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NMR Strategy →

Why Analyze NMR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NMR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NMR historically offers an average upside of +1.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NMR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 38.5%, NMR shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NMR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.44%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.