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HOOD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 593 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES (SIC 6211)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 29, 2021 🔗 www.robinhood.com
💰 Market Cap: $96.20B 👥 Employees: 2,300
Robinhood Markets Inc is creating a modern financial services platform. It designs its own products and services and delivers them through a single, app-based cloud platform supported by proprietary technology. Its vertically integrated platform has enabled the introduction of new products and services such as cryptocurrency trading, dividend reinvestment, fraud detection, derivatives, fractional shares, recurring investments, and others.
📊
593
Total Alerts
🎯
52.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -5.02%
Trades: 259/322

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +7.96%
Worst: -8.42%
Trades: 265/318

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +14.90%
Worst: -8.63%
Trades: 286/303

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +14.72%
Worst: -7.46%
Trades: 293/294

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +26.79%
Worst: -17.18%
Trades: 310/280

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.92%
Best MFE: +28.09%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, HOOD alerts reach +2.92% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -8.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 593 alerts, HOOD typically reaches +2.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 593
Gap Up % 34.2%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.78%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

How HOOD compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOOD: -0.18% Sector: -0.16% -0.03%
EOD Gain
HOOD: +0.15% Sector: +0.18% -0.02%
Avg MFE
HOOD: +2.92% Sector: +2.77% +0.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOOD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:31 $63.35 -1.61% -2.10% -0.28% +2.26% +3.05% +4.31% -2.57% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:05 $61.96 +3.44% +3.31% -0.85% +1.10% +2.97% +7.99% -0.21% +0.21% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:27 $53.39 +1.40% +2.08% +3.46% +3.85% +4.72% +6.27% -1.39% -0.41% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:22 $55.83 -0.21% -0.27% -0.23% -0.70% -4.46% +0.29% -1.22% +0.13% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:15 $57.42 -1.62% -0.94% -2.08% -2.71% -2.00% +0.54% +0.14% -0.42% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:47 $54.2 +1.62% +1.34% +1.52% +1.67% +3.06% +3.28% -0.17% +0.35% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:10 $55.0 -0.85% -0.81% -1.47% -2.36% -3.33% -0.18% -0.36% -0.36% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:07 $52.25 +0.54% +0.86% +0.94% +2.51% +3.73% +3.98% -0.08% +0.13% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:57 $52.33 -0.36% -0.10% -0.29% +1.03% +0.48% +1.87% -1.51% -0.63% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:15 $48.35 +1.13% +3.60% +4.10% +5.67% +7.34% +8.21% -1.49% +0.29% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:58 $53.27 -0.23% +0.21% -0.10% -0.24% -2.48% +0.41% -0.79% -0.02% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:28 $51.91 +0.35% +0.59% +1.70% +1.10% +2.10% +3.08% -1.63% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:07 $48.8 +0.39% -0.02% +0.51% +1.21% +4.82% +5.96% -0.41% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:02 $47.96 +0.56% -1.30% +0.40% +3.23% +3.00% +3.84% -1.98% -0.13% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:35 $48.69 +0.90% +0.47% +2.16% +0.81% -1.95% +2.99% -1.33% -0.74% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:53 $50.86 +0.43% +0.70% +1.00% +0.71% +0.51% +2.36% -0.51% +0.10% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:03 $49.57 +0.39% +0.91% +1.19% +1.24% +1.59% +2.70% -0.93% -0.36% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:32 $50.28 +0.35% +0.42% +0.52% +0.86% -0.24% +1.61% -0.54% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:41 $50.1 -1.80% -2.30% -1.16% -2.50% -0.20% +1.08% -3.89% -0.34% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:43 $47.93 -0.35% -0.50% -0.73% -1.21% +0.46% +2.80% -2.00% -0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 52.3% Baseline on HOOD

The 52.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HOOD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HOOD Strategy →

Why Analyze HOOD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOOD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOOD historically offers an average upside of +2.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOOD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.3%, HOOD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HOOD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.