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GS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 38 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (38 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 04, 1999 🔗 www.goldmansachs.com
💰 Market Cap: $221.28B 👥 Employees: 46,500
Goldman Sachs is a storied financial institution, founded in 1869 and best known for its role as a leading global investment bank. The firm has a sprawling reach across global financial centers and has been the leading provider of global merger and acquisition advisory services, by revenue, for the past 20 years. Since the global financial crisis, Goldman has expanded its offerings into more stable fee-based businesses like asset and wealth management, which comprised roughly 30% of post-provision revenue at the end of 2024. The bank holding company generates revenue from investment banking, global market making and trading, lending, asset management, wealth management, and a small and declining portfolio of consumer credit card loans.
📊
38
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +3.34%
Worst: -1.31%
Trades: 19/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +5.52%
Worst: -3.65%
Trades: 18/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 18/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +6.00%
Worst: -3.42%
Trades: 19/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +6.81%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 15/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.41%
Best MFE: +7.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, GS alerts reach +1.41% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -2.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 38 alerts, GS typically reaches +1.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 38
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.67%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

How GS compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GS: -0.05% Sector: -0.16% +0.11%
EOD Gain
GS: -0.26% Sector: +0.18% -0.44%
Avg MFE
GS: +1.41% Sector: +2.77% -1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:29:40 $618.52 -1.03% -0.03% +0.45% +0.16% +2.62% +2.73% -1.54% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:57 $595.0 +0.17% +0.59% +1.55% +1.85% +1.84% +2.42% -0.34% +0.50% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:20 $584.5 +0.10% -0.55% -0.12% +0.11% -0.19% +1.57% -0.80% +0.08% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:57 $558.0 +3.34% +5.52% +3.64% +6.00% +6.81% +7.28% - +1.67% WIN
2024-10-15 09:27:05 $537.81 -0.78% -2.52% -3.11% -3.42% -2.87% +0.50% -0.66% +0.18% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:28:56 $481.5 +1.27% +1.32% -0.21% +0.19% +2.23% +2.39% -1.08% -0.26% WIN
2024-06-26 09:28:09 $456.28 +0.09% -0.03% -0.19% -0.62% -0.09% +0.36% -0.28% -0.19% WIN
2024-04-15 09:26:24 $405.85 +1.44% +0.56% +0.49% -0.65% -1.22% +1.73% -0.12% +0.28% WIN
2023-10-17 09:26:00 $313.01 -0.21% +0.14% -0.88% -1.39% -1.17% +1.01% -0.59% +0.12% LOSS
2023-07-19 09:25:00 $334.65 -0.26% -0.33% +0.35% +3.04% +1.76% +3.36% -1.00% +1.00% LOSS
2023-04-18 09:29:00 $328.99 -0.10% +0.51% -0.07% +0.69% +1.50% +2.30% -0.87% -0.30% LOSS
2023-03-20 09:28:00 $306.61 +0.62% +0.42% +1.56% +1.22% +0.95% +1.82% -0.12% +0.06% WIN
2023-03-15 09:26:00 $311.94 -1.06% -0.82% -1.94% -1.70% +0.08% +0.18% -2.41% -0.38% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:25:00 $362.43 +0.30% -0.15% -0.57% -1.97% -3.45% +1.20% +0.02% +0.65% WIN
2023-01-11 09:26:00 $359.85 -0.85% -0.04% -0.05% +0.14% +1.29% +1.57% -1.01% -0.27% LOSS
2022-10-26 09:25:00 $334.39 +0.11% +0.52% +0.40% +0.39% +0.39% +1.28% -0.22% +0.04% WIN
2022-10-25 09:25:00 $327.5 -0.32% +0.19% +0.95% +0.27% +1.50% +1.86% -0.48% +0.11% LOSS
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $321.33 -0.27% -0.33% -0.86% +0.32% -2.33% +0.98% -1.58% +0.11% LOSS
2022-10-14 09:25:00 $306.15 +0.02% +1.31% +0.75% -1.42% -2.01% +1.79% -0.25% +0.43% WIN
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $299.25 -0.57% -0.87% -1.38% -2.41% -1.05% +0.03% -0.75% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.05% average gain, GS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GS historically offers an average upside of +1.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, GS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.05%). This suggests GS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.