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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PTRN

Trade-Ideas alerts 60.0% at EOD n=5 2026-03-06 → 2026-08-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES (SIC 5961)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2025 🔗 www.pattern.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.07B 👥 Employees: 2,300
Pattern Group Inc is an e-commerce accelerator that uses its technology platform, data science, and a team of experts to drive growth for brands. The Company acquires inventory from brand partners to sell to consumers, enabling full control over content, pricing, logistics, and customer service. Brand partners that contract with the Company operate in various industries, including health and wellness, beauty and personal care, home and lifestyle, pet, sports and outdoors, and consumer electronics. The Company mainly derives its revenue in the United States by selling products to customers via online marketplaces. The company genrates majority of revenue from the US.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.08%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.08%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PTRN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.11%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: -0.49%
Worst: -5.14%
Trades: 0/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.09%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.09%
Best: -1.54%
Worst: -8.13%
Trades: 0/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.35%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.35%
Best: -0.53%
Worst: -12.95%
Trades: 0/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -2.48%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -3.99%
Best: +3.53%
Worst: -11.18%
Trades: 1/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -5.95%
Best: +4.03%
Worst: -11.26%
Trades: 3/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.08%
Best MFE: +5.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 156 min

On average, PTRN alerts reach +3.08% profit potential within 156 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.50%
Worst MAE: -7.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.88:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, PTRN typically reaches +3.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.83%
Best Gap +5.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How PTRN compares to 19 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PTRN: -2.11% Sector: -0.09% -2.02%
EOD Gain
PTRN: -0.08% Sector: +3.67% -3.75%
Avg MFE
PTRN: +3.08% Sector: +4.01% -0.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PTRN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $21.27 -5.14% -3.06% -5.64% +3.53% +3.86% +5.74% -5.14% +5.74% LOSS
2026-07-02 09:25:00 $26.6 -0.49% -1.54% -0.53% -0.75% -0.64% +0.23% -2.22% -0.45% LOSS
2026-06-17 09:25:00 $19.74 -1.52% -1.70% -0.96% -2.00% +3.60% +4.61% -3.04% +0.41% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $18.84 -1.11% -6.02% -1.65% -2.02% +4.03% +4.67% -7.11% +0.00% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $12.17 -2.30% -8.13% -12.95% -11.18% -11.26% +0.16% +0.00% -1.56% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PTRN Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, PTRN has -0.08% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making PTRN profitable.

🔧 Fix PTRN Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze PTRN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PTRN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PTRN historically offers an average upside of +3.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PTRN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, PTRN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.95%) outweigh average wins (+3.83%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PTRN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.08%). This suggests PTRN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.