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AMZN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 702 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AMZN alerts reach +1.37% profit potential within 136 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 702 alerts, AMZN typically reaches +1.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
How AMZN compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AMZN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:00 | $229.44 | -0.16% | -0.22% | -0.28% | -0.65% | -0.33% | +0.20% | -0.23% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:42 | $228.67 | -0.00% | -0.22% | -0.03% | +0.36% | +0.74% | +0.77% | -0.50% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:01 | $230.4 | -0.44% | -0.64% | -0.23% | -0.27% | -0.64% | +0.34% | -0.97% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:37 | $231.8 | +0.45% | +0.45% | +0.42% | +0.38% | +0.41% | +0.71% | -0.06% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:14 | $229.75 | -0.06% | +0.27% | +0.45% | +1.60% | +1.48% | +1.81% | -0.24% | +0.35% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:28:21 | $232.5 | +0.52% | +0.76% | +0.21% | -0.83% | -1.44% | +0.99% | -0.50% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:22 | $238.2 | -0.23% | -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.41% | +0.26% | +0.61% | -0.92% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:28:37 | $236.92 | +0.01% | -0.41% | +0.03% | +0.16% | -0.32% | +0.59% | -0.73% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:25:53 | $238.58 | -0.08% | +0.03% | +0.41% | +1.26% | +1.46% | +1.65% | -0.23% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:52 | $234.08 | +1.11% | +1.14% | +0.51% | +0.33% | +1.43% | +2.21% | -0.50% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:25:50 | $236.48 | +0.81% | +0.59% | +1.00% | +0.58% | +0.51% | +1.61% | -0.05% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:25:06 | $235.83 | +0.04% | -0.18% | +0.67% | +0.06% | -0.50% | +0.90% | -0.54% | +0.56% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:29 | $239.13 | -0.37% | -0.95% | -0.83% | -0.46% | -0.86% | +0.53% | -0.11% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:26:13 | $234.54 | -0.06% | +0.14% | +0.96% | +2.37% | +1.54% | +3.08% | -0.24% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:23 | $226.13 | +0.90% | +0.89% | +1.42% | +2.30% | +4.11% | +4.32% | -0.32% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:55 | $235.2 | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.44% | -0.34% | -0.15% | +0.51% | -0.34% | -0.30% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:27:57 | $233.88 | -0.45% | -0.01% | -0.33% | +0.09% | +0.66% | +0.70% | -1.01% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:26:52 | $232.41 | -0.05% | -0.28% | +0.57% | +1.14% | +1.12% | +1.30% | -0.52% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:28:04 | $228.78 | +0.84% | +0.29% | -0.33% | -0.22% | +0.84% | +1.31% | -0.80% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:26:02 | $224.93 | +0.29% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.61% | +0.45% | +0.77% | -0.21% | +0.40% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AMZN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.1% win rate and -3.47% average gain, AMZN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AMZN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AMZN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMZN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMZN historically offers an average upside of +1.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AMZN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, AMZN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AMZN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AMZN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -3.47%). This suggests AMZN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.