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CHWY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 131 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-01-07

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 14, 2019 🔗 www.chewy.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.15B 👥 Employees: 18,000
Chewy is the largest e-commerce petcare retailer in the US, generating $11.9 billion in fiscal 2024 sales across pet food, treats, hard goods, and pharmacy categories. The firm was founded in 2011, acquired by PetSmart in 2017, and tapped public markets as a stand-alone company in 2019 after spending time developing under the aegis of the pet superstore chain. The firm generates sales from pet food, treats, over-the-counter medications, medical prescription fulfillment, and hard goods like crates, leashes, and bowls.
📊
131
Total Alerts
🎯
54.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.23%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+3.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +4.29%
Worst: -4.75%
Trades: 68/62

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -1.71%
Best: +12.13%
Worst: -6.84%
Trades: 64/66

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.2%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +9.77%
Worst: -8.49%
Trades: 71/60

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.4%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: +12.28%
Worst: -14.02%
Trades: 70/61

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +12.93%
Worst: -15.06%
Trades: 61/69

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.67%
Best MFE: +34.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, CHWY alerts reach +3.67% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%
Worst MAE: -6.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 131 alerts, CHWY typically reaches +3.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 131
Gap Up % 38.9%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +4.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How CHWY compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHWY: +0.08% Sector: -0.09% +0.17%
EOD Gain
CHWY: +0.37% Sector: +4.48% -4.11%
Avg MFE
CHWY: +3.67% Sector: +3.91% -0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHWY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-07 09:26:27 $36.8 -0.18% -1.21% -0.91% -2.49% -2.80% +0.14% -0.14% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:39 $37.2 -0.91% +0.15% +0.99% +0.91% -0.35% +1.77% -2.02% -0.30% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:28:04 $34.01 +1.28% +0.21% +0.24% -0.09% -1.18% +1.47% -0.03% +0.65% WIN
2024-12-12 09:29:44 $31.61 +0.52% +0.13% +0.93% +1.52% +0.82% +4.30% -0.16% - WIN
2024-12-04 09:29:15 $31.05 -2.48% -0.29% +0.04% +0.58% +7.79% +8.12% -3.70% -0.77% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:26:50 $34.47 -0.33% -0.73% -1.02% -1.36% +0.44% +0.96% -2.03% +0.58% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:25:44 $28.47 +1.55% +1.26% +0.77% +3.06% +1.30% +4.14% -0.39% +1.19% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:30 $27.13 -0.59% -0.94% -0.46% -0.52% -0.04% +0.72% - +0.33% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:27:18 $30.15 +0.22% +2.02% +1.03% +1.43% +0.99% +2.57% -0.30% +0.33% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:42 $29.28 -0.27% -1.37% -0.96% -0.79% +0.27% +1.16% -1.61% -0.10% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:29:04 $30.0 +0.17% -0.83% -0.97% -1.63% -0.83% +2.17% -0.13% -0.03% WIN
2024-09-06 09:26:57 $27.13 -1.25% -0.33% -0.28% -0.92% -3.46% +1.86% -1.73% -0.29% LOSS
2024-08-29 09:29:24 $28.75 +2.23% +1.36% +2.09% -0.89% -0.17% +3.41% -0.17% -0.10% WIN
2024-08-28 09:25:12 $26.3 +4.18% +8.01% +8.38% +12.28% +9.20% +16.43% -3.04% -0.19% WIN
2024-08-21 09:29:04 $26.29 -0.61% +0.57% +2.15% +2.05% +3.08% +3.42% -1.41% -0.15% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:26:20 $19.8 +1.21% +6.72% +9.77% +10.53% +12.93% +13.89% -0.25% +0.51% WIN
2024-08-02 09:28:28 $22.75 -1.58% -1.67% -2.07% -2.81% -1.93% +0.48% -0.13% -0.70% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:25:40 $27.35 +0.37% -0.39% +0.40% -2.49% -1.94% +0.77% -0.66% -0.07% WIN
2024-07-12 09:28:53 $26.71 +1.52% +0.60% +0.07% +1.94% -0.67% +2.51% -1.46% -0.22% WIN
2024-07-11 09:28:56 $25.97 +0.94% +0.62% +2.77% +2.19% +1.93% +3.47% -0.77% +0.12% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.2% Baseline on CHWY

The 54.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CHWY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CHWY Strategy →

Why Analyze CHWY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHWY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHWY historically offers an average upside of +3.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CHWY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.2%, CHWY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CHWY performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.23%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.