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TDS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-02 → 2024-05-28

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 1981 🔗 www.tdsinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.10B 👥 Employees: 7,900
Telephone and Data Systems Inc is a diversified telecommunications operator that provides mobile, telephone, and broadband services. The company's segments include UScellular Wireless, UScellular Towers, and TDS Telecom. It generates maximum revenue from the UScellular Wireless segment.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.57%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+19.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +2.57%
Avg Winner: +4.73%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +11.16%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +3.74%
Avg Winner: +6.97%
Avg Loser: -5.95%
Best: +14.38%
Worst: -5.95%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +6.34%
Avg Winner: +11.02%
Avg Loser: -7.71%
Best: +25.66%
Worst: -7.71%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +5.41%
Avg Winner: +18.67%
Avg Loser: -7.85%
Best: +29.21%
Worst: -14.48%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +16.15%
Avg Winner: +24.59%
Avg Loser: -9.14%
Best: +46.21%
Worst: -9.14%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +19.13%
Best MFE: +47.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 245 min

On average, TDS alerts reach +19.13% profit potential within 245 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.65%
Worst MAE: -2.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 36 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

29.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 29.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TDS typically reaches +19.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 15.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +1.12%
Best Gap +6.40%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)

How TDS compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TDS: +2.57% Sector: +0.01% +2.56%
EOD Gain
TDS: +16.15% Sector: +0.15% +16.01%
Avg MFE
TDS: +19.13% Sector: +1.93% +17.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TDS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-28 09:27:28 $21.0 -3.90% -5.95% -7.71% -14.48% -9.14% - - -2.57% LOSS
2023-08-08 09:28:00 $13.97 +2.43% +6.44% +6.19% +8.12% +21.62% +22.33% -0.43% -0.43% WIN
2023-08-04 09:27:00 $10.15 +11.16% +14.38% +25.66% +29.21% +46.21% +47.78% -0.11% +6.40% WIN
2023-06-02 09:26:00 $6.57 +0.61% +0.08% +1.22% -1.22% +5.94% +6.39% -2.05% +1.07% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on TDS

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TDS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TDS Strategy →

Why Analyze TDS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TDS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TDS historically offers an average upside of +19.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TDS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, TDS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TDS performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.57%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.