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VZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 304 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-11

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 21, 1983 🔗 www.verizon.com
💰 Market Cap: $166.63B 👥 Employees: 99,600
Wireless services account for 75% of Verizon Communications' total service revenue and nearly all of its operating income. The firm serves about 93 million postpaid and 20 million prepaid phone customers via its nationwide network, making it the largest US wireless carrier. Fixed-line telecom operations include local networks in the Northeast that reach about 30 million homes and businesses, including about 20 million with the Fios fiber optic network. These networks serve about 8 million broadband customers. Verizon also provides telecom services nationwide to enterprise customers, often using a mixture of its own and other carriers' networks. Verizon agreed to acquire Frontier Communications in September 2024.
📊
304
Total Alerts
🎯
50.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +9.85%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 134/167

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -2.69%
Trades: 135/169

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -4.46%
Trades: 135/166

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -5.54%
Trades: 142/160

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +4.84%
Worst: -6.92%
Trades: 153/149

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.98%
Best MFE: +15.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, VZ alerts reach +0.98% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.37%
Worst MAE: -2.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 304 alerts, VZ typically reaches +0.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 304
Gap Up % 43.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)

How VZ compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VZ: +0.01% Sector: +0.01% -0.00%
EOD Gain
VZ: -0.03% Sector: +0.15% -0.18%
Avg MFE
VZ: +0.98% Sector: +1.93% -0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:26:05 $40.0 -0.15% -0.31% -0.11% +0.19% +1.23% +1.30% -0.45% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:41 $40.03 +0.40% -0.03% -0.27% +0.14% +0.25% +0.70% -0.07% +0.25% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:48 $39.24 +0.52% +1.18% +1.01% +1.43% +1.89% +2.24% -0.24% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:10 $40.4 -1.36% -1.52% -2.91% -2.10% -2.30% +0.02% - -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:03 $40.5 +0.41% +0.37% +0.37% - -0.25% +0.75% -0.33% +0.25% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:29 $39.95 +1.33% +1.59% +1.00% +1.11% +1.73% +2.14% +0.25% +0.50% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:56 $39.8 +0.82% +0.78% -0.77% -0.34% -0.65% +2.21% +0.03% +0.78% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:25 $38.89 +0.48% +1.31% +1.63% +1.17% +0.33% +1.77% -0.26% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:16 $38.24 +0.47% +1.10% +1.31% +1.45% +1.41% +1.91% -0.05% +0.47% WIN
2025-01-16 09:29:34 $38.13 +0.33% +0.05% -0.21% -0.08% +0.55% +0.62% -0.51% - WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:02 $38.45 -0.08% +0.01% +0.12% -0.47% -0.70% +0.36% -0.60% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:29:05 $37.9 -0.03% +0.26% +0.03% +0.01% +0.58% +0.66% -0.42% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:46 $38.22 -0.09% -0.22% -0.93% -1.37% -1.07% +0.03% -0.37% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:15 $39.03 -0.69% -1.27% -1.05% -1.19% -0.23% -0.10% -0.85% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:17 $40.27 -0.17% -0.68% -0.47% -1.10% -1.64% +0.15% -0.40% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:28 $40.32 +0.05% -0.07% -0.12% +0.22% -0.15% +0.76% -0.52% - WIN
2025-01-02 09:25:33 $40.11 +0.09% +0.72% +0.38% +0.26% +0.25% +1.12% -0.32% -0.20% WIN
2024-12-23 09:25:37 $39.93 +0.23% +0.09% +0.13% +0.13% +0.03% +0.50% -0.25% - WIN
2024-12-17 09:28:38 $40.78 +0.32% +0.28% +0.27% +0.69% - +0.83% -0.66% -0.29% WIN
2024-12-05 09:25:39 $42.61 -0.07% +0.47% +0.50% +0.36% -0.14% +0.61% -0.21% -0.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VZ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.3% win rate, VZ has -0.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making VZ profitable.

🔧 Fix VZ Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze VZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VZ historically offers an average upside of +0.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.3%, VZ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.01%) outweigh average wins (+0.92%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VZ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.03%). This suggests VZ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.