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TDUP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-15 → 2025-01-15

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ThredUp Inc. Class A Common Stock RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES (SIC 5961)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 2021 🔗 www.thredup.com
💰 Market Cap: $649.5M 👥 Employees: 1,630
ThredUp Inc is an online resale platform for women and kids apparel, shoes, and accessories. It generates revenue from items that are sold to buyers through the website, mobile app and RaaS partners. Geographically, the majority of the company's revenue is generated from United States.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
85.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+7.21%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+17.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +3.48%
Avg Winner: +6.19%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +16.74%
Worst: -0.42%
Trades: 4/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +7.21%
Avg Winner: +8.78%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +23.38%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 6/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +5.98%
Avg Winner: +9.17%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +13.45%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +5.64%
Avg Winner: +8.94%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +13.26%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +7.07%
Avg Winner: +17.00%
Avg Loser: -6.17%
Best: +27.60%
Worst: -9.55%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +17.72%
Best MFE: +50.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, TDUP alerts reach +17.72% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.54%
Worst MAE: -4.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.54%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

11.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 11.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, TDUP typically reaches +17.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 14.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap +0.33%
Best Gap +6.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How TDUP compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TDUP: +3.48% Sector: -0.09% +3.56%
EOD Gain
TDUP: +7.07% Sector: +4.48% +2.58%
Avg MFE
TDUP: +17.72% Sector: +3.91% +13.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TDUP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:27:36 $2.01 +2.49% +5.97% +5.72% +5.72% +12.44% +17.91% -1.49% +0.75% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:27 $0.76 +3.49% +10.97% +7.00% +13.26% +15.64% +21.05% +1.29% +6.01% WIN
2024-08-07 09:25:22 $0.7 - +5.02% +12.73% +5.81% -9.55% +14.33% -1.39% -0.67% -
2023-06-07 09:28:00 $1.95 +2.05% +5.90% +6.92% +7.44% +12.31% +13.33% -1.03% - WIN
2023-03-08 09:27:00 $2.4 -0.42% +1.46% -0.55% -2.50% -4.58% +5.00% -4.10% -0.21% LOSS
2023-03-07 09:29:00 $1.92 +16.74% +23.38% +13.45% +12.45% +27.60% +50.52% -3.12% -2.60% WIN
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $3.19 - -2.19% -3.45% -2.66% -4.39% +1.88% -0.94% -0.94% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 85.7% Baseline on TDUP

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TDUP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TDUP Strategy →

Why Analyze TDUP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TDUP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TDUP historically offers an average upside of +17.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TDUP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, TDUP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TDUP performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +7.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.