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TRUP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-05 → 2024-07-30

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 18, 2014 🔗 www.trupanion.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.42B 👥 Employees: 1,130
Trupanion Inc is a specialty insurance products provider in the United States. Its core business is the sale of insurance products tailor-made for pets, especially cats and dogs. It operates in two business segments: The subscription business segment generates revenue majorly from subscription fees related to the Company's direct-to-consumer products and Other business segment is comprised of revenue from other product offerings that generally have a business-to-business relationship and a different margin profile than subscription business segment, including revenue from writing policies on behalf of third parties and revenue from other products and software solutions.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.21%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +3.71%
Worst: -3.86%
Trades: 7/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +4.41%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +9.48%
Worst: -7.10%
Trades: 6/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +4.22%
Avg Loser: -3.14%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -6.43%
Trades: 7/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.90%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +12.15%
Worst: -7.40%
Trades: 7/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +5.93%
Avg Loser: -6.86%
Best: +21.19%
Worst: -15.01%
Trades: 6/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.30%
Best MFE: +25.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, TRUP alerts reach +6.30% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.39%
Worst MAE: -5.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, TRUP typically reaches +6.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.53%
Best Gap +2.06%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How TRUP compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TRUP: +0.21% Sector: -0.05% +0.26%
EOD Gain
TRUP: -0.47% Sector: +0.06% -0.53%
Avg MFE
TRUP: +6.30% Sector: +2.93% +3.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TRUP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-30 09:28:14 $35.93 +1.57% +3.62% +3.98% +5.46% +4.01% +6.15% +1.11% +1.11% WIN
2024-07-08 09:29:57 $28.51 +3.26% +3.28% +3.44% +3.54% +1.72% +5.00% +1.30% +1.68% WIN
2024-05-01 09:28:13 $22.49 -0.32% +1.18% +2.18% +2.62% +3.69% +9.74% -0.32% +0.44% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:27:46 $27.61 - -0.91% -1.41% -2.54% -0.80% +2.28% -3.37% +1.30% -
2024-02-16 09:29:47 $26.92 +3.71% +8.28% +6.84% -0.67% -15.01% +9.84% -2.30% +0.37% WIN
2023-12-15 09:29:00 $35.0 -2.96% -5.64% -5.09% -7.40% -8.80% +0.81% -1.60% -0.06% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:28:00 $19.2 +0.21% -0.52% +3.28% +1.41% +2.50% +7.60% -3.91% -0.36% WIN
2023-06-23 09:29:00 $23.36 -3.81% -4.56% -2.35% -4.49% -3.25% -0.60% -5.39% -1.33% LOSS
2023-06-22 09:29:00 $20.07 +3.04% -0.94% -0.42% +1.30% +2.44% +6.08% +0.65% +0.95% WIN
2023-05-23 09:28:00 $23.35 +0.94% +0.64% +2.68% +0.79% -8.27% +3.47% -0.26% +2.06% WIN
2023-05-08 09:29:00 $26.91 -3.86% -7.10% -6.43% -5.39% -5.05% - -0.56% -0.56% LOSS
2023-05-05 09:26:00 $23.83 +0.71% +9.48% +7.18% +12.15% +21.19% +25.18% -2.01% +0.71% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.3% Baseline on TRUP

The 58.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TRUP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TRUP Strategy →

Why Analyze TRUP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TRUP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TRUP historically offers an average upside of +6.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TRUP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, TRUP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TRUP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.