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UNH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 87 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (87 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware) HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS (SIC 6324)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 17, 1984 🔗 www.unitedhealthgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $322.71B 👥 Employees: 400,000
UnitedHealth Group is one of the largest private health insurers and provides medical benefits to about 51 million members globally, including 1 million outside the US as of December 2024. As a leader in employer-sponsored, self-directed, and government-backed insurance plans, UnitedHealth has obtained massive scale in medical insurance. Along with its insurance assets, UnitedHealth's Optum franchises help create a healthcare services colossus that spans everything from pharmaceutical benefits to providing outpatient care and analytics to both affiliated and third-party customers.
📊
87
Total Alerts
🎯
57.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 44/42

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.47%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 45/41

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +2.75%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 49/37

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +3.91%
Worst: -3.15%
Trades: 44/42

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +3.78%
Worst: -4.13%
Trades: 46/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.18%
Best MFE: +4.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, UNH alerts reach +1.18% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -3.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 87 alerts, UNH typically reaches +1.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 87
Gap Up % 41.4%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +0.82%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How UNH compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UNH: -0.06% Sector: -0.05% -0.01%
EOD Gain
UNH: +0.03% Sector: +0.06% -0.03%
Avg MFE
UNH: +1.19% Sector: +2.93% -1.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UNH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:25:10 $531.0 -0.28% +0.49% -0.09% -0.12% +1.66% +1.83% -1.71% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:43 $544.55 -0.22% -0.01% +0.31% +0.57% -0.38% +0.85% -0.46% -0.24% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:41 $531.64 +1.26% -0.30% -0.70% -2.48% -3.96% +1.54% -0.87% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-06 09:26:05 $514.8 -0.65% +0.46% -0.01% -0.06% -0.22% +1.07% -0.89% -0.35% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:25:01 $500.79 +0.11% +0.05% -0.12% +0.33% +1.11% +1.60% -0.35% -0.01% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:58 $492.91 -0.15% +1.26% +1.41% +1.43% +1.38% +2.76% -1.40% -0.91% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:29:24 $486.0 +1.65% -0.30% +0.61% +0.20% -0.10% +1.98% -0.41% +0.21% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:28 $519.99 -0.02% -0.91% -1.47% -0.85% -4.13% +0.33% -0.96% -0.38% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:28:27 $514.99 +0.20% -0.05% -0.61% +0.60% +1.07% +2.44% -0.83% +0.13% WIN
2024-12-11 09:28:20 $556.0 -1.26% -2.15% -3.68% -3.15% -4.04% +0.38% -0.70% -0.06% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:25:59 $551.79 -0.03% -0.98% -0.61% -0.32% +1.60% +2.03% -1.30% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:43 $611.98 +0.92% +0.73% +0.63% -0.32% -0.19% +1.77% -0.22% -0.16% WIN
2024-11-13 09:27:35 $613.0 -0.52% -0.15% -0.39% -0.87% -1.16% +0.00% -0.80% - LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:56 $599.26 -0.20% -0.27% +0.20% +0.66% -0.43% +1.04% -0.91% +0.77% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:29:32 $565.9 +0.19% +0.16% +0.17% +0.22% +0.66% +0.89% -0.51% +0.17% WIN
2024-10-15 09:29:36 $550.45 -0.92% -0.20% -0.99% +1.36% +1.06% +3.50% -1.35% +0.29% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:29:03 $580.28 +0.10% +0.24% +0.31% +0.72% +0.76% +1.06% -0.27% +0.55% WIN
2024-09-27 09:27:21 $578.18 +0.13% +0.17% +0.64% +0.83% +0.63% +1.48% -0.28% -0.09% WIN
2024-09-26 09:29:55 $572.8 +0.08% +0.04% +0.19% -0.17% +0.35% +0.66% -0.33% +0.38% WIN
2024-09-23 09:27:51 $577.05 +0.22% -0.03% -0.75% -0.60% -0.63% +0.41% -0.65% -0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.0% Baseline on UNH

The 57.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UNH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UNH Strategy →

Why Analyze UNH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UNH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UNH historically offers an average upside of +1.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UNH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.0%, UNH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UNH performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.