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HUM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 57 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-01-23

⚠️ Small sample size (57 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 18, 1971 🔗 www.humana.com
💰 Market Cap: $32.05B 👥 Employees: 65,680
Humana is one of the largest private health insurers in the US, and the firm has built a niche specializing in government-sponsored programs, with nearly all its medical membership stemming from Medicare, Medicaid, and the military's Tricare program. Beyond medical insurance, the company provides other healthcare services, including primary-care services, at-home services, and pharmacy benefit management.
📊
57
Total Alerts
🎯
56.1%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.58%
Worst: -2.48%
Trades: 26/31

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -4.28%
Trades: 32/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +2.69%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 30/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +7.45%
Worst: -7.27%
Trades: 31/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +12.81%
Worst: -6.22%
Trades: 29/28

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.92%
Best MFE: +14.36%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, HUM alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -2.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, HUM typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +2.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How HUM compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HUM: -0.00% Sector: -0.05% +0.05%
EOD Gain
HUM: +0.23% Sector: +0.06% +0.17%
Avg MFE
HUM: +1.92% Sector: +2.93% -1.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HUM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:29:08 $290.0 -0.55% -1.69% -2.09% -2.17% +1.31% +5.96% -2.70% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:43 $262.94 +0.33% +2.60% +2.69% +2.72% +0.51% +3.20% +0.33% +0.36% WIN
2024-12-20 09:25:23 $235.78 -0.36% -0.12% -0.31% +0.55% +4.80% +7.11% -0.47% -0.19% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:00 $271.5 +2.58% +2.76% +1.99% +1.79% +4.03% +4.46% -0.37% +0.55% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:35 $287.02 -0.53% -1.69% -0.94% -2.90% +0.52% +1.29% +0.88% +1.13% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:29:30 $251.99 +2.00% +1.06% +1.69% +4.59% +2.23% +5.30% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2024-10-04 09:27:09 $241.0 +0.47% +0.30% -0.05% +1.74% -0.40% +2.47% -0.41% +0.29% WIN
2024-10-02 09:28:24 $218.5 -1.37% +0.69% +1.42% +7.45% +12.81% +14.36% -2.38% +0.58% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:28:26 $311.3 -0.26% -0.46% -0.58% +0.29% +0.47% +1.04% -0.98% -0.47% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:27:35 $367.66 +0.31% +2.34% +2.41% +0.14% -1.65% +3.60% -1.13% -0.69% WIN
2024-06-24 09:28:49 $355.0 +0.56% -0.00% +0.17% +0.12% +0.86% +1.08% -0.30% +0.50% WIN
2024-06-20 09:25:59 $350.77 -0.11% +0.54% +0.32% +0.84% +1.90% +2.19% -0.35% -0.02% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:27:01 $336.94 -0.66% -3.34% -4.45% -7.27% -6.22% +0.31% +0.30% -0.58% LOSS
2024-04-16 09:28:49 $331.0 -1.99% -3.32% -2.05% -2.95% -4.07% -0.30% -1.04% -0.31% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:27:34 $313.0 +1.82% +1.47% -2.10% -2.85% -2.77% +2.27% - +0.80% WIN
2024-03-19 09:27:51 $349.15 -0.09% +0.47% +0.84% -0.04% +0.70% +0.95% -0.29% +0.04% LOSS
2024-02-07 09:28:15 $367.55 +0.18% +0.49% +0.54% +0.89% +0.28% +1.17% -0.51% +0.31% WIN
2023-12-11 09:26:00 $483.05 -1.90% -1.57% -1.90% -1.87% -1.33% +0.16% -0.01% -0.09% LOSS
2023-11-17 09:28:00 $512.0 -0.60% -0.54% -1.08% -1.62% -2.72% +0.33% +0.18% +0.33% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:28:00 $507.0 +0.45% +1.34% +2.29% +2.38% +1.17% +2.56% +0.02% +0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.1% Baseline on HUM

The 56.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HUM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HUM Strategy →

Why Analyze HUM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HUM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HUM historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HUM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.1%, HUM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HUM performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.