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WTFC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-08 → 2023-06-22

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Wintrust Financial Corp STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 23, 1996 🔗 www.wintrust.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.78B 👥 Employees: 5,903
Wintrust Financial Corp is a financial holding company that provides community-oriented, personal, and commercial banking services to customers generally located in the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and western Michigan. The company provides specialty finance services, including financing for the payment of property and casualty insurance premiums and life insurance premiums, and wealth management services to customers in its market area. The company's operations consist of three primary segments: community banking, specialty finance, and wealth management. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the community banking segment.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.24%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +0.30%
Worst: -0.79%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +1.69%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.80%
Best MFE: +1.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 18 min

On average, WTFC alerts reach +0.80% profit potential within 18 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.94%
Worst MAE: -0.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.85:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, WTFC typically reaches +0.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +0.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How WTFC compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WTFC: -0.24% Sector: -0.03% -0.22%
EOD Gain
WTFC: -0.57% Sector: -0.04% -0.53%
Avg MFE
WTFC: +0.80% Sector: +1.25% -0.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WTFC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-22 09:25:00 $69.81 -0.79% -0.89% -1.76% -0.95% -1.86% -0.24% -0.93% -0.24% LOSS
2022-06-08 09:25:00 $87.04 +0.30% +0.97% +1.69% +0.59% +0.72% +1.85% -0.95% +0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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⚠️ WTFC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.24% average gain, WTFC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WTFC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WTFC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WTFC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WTFC historically offers an average upside of +0.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WTFC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, WTFC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WTFC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WTFC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.24%). This suggests WTFC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.