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$CVEO — what the base rate says

$CVEO — what the base rate says

The consensus number for Civeo was a loss. Twenty-seven cents a share of it. The company, which runs lodges and dining halls at remote work camps, reported a 50-cent profit after the close, on $193.1 million of revenue that landed 10.94% over the estimate, and $CVEO is up 22.42% before the bell.

A beat that crosses zero is a different animal from a beat by a nickel. When the sign is wrong, the surprise measures how little anyone was modeling the beds, not how fast the beds filled. The quoted 285.19% surprise is what dividing by a loss produces; the useful fact is that the camps earned money while the sell side had them losing it.

Cross-stock history for the shape of this open: earnings-day sessions that opened 20% or higher, 198 of them in the sample, finished below their own open 55 times in a hundred, median open-to-close drift of -0.54%. That describes the sample, not this ticker, which has no prior 5%-plus gap-up sessions to compare against.

Same report-card morning, two more lodging-adjacent facts for scale: #OSPN beat with 35 cents against 22 and is up 19.11%, a beat with the sign intact and the stock already up 56.4% on the year. Civeo's print flipped the sign on a stock nobody had bid up first. Different starting lines, same word in both headlines.

What the data showed

  • $ABOS -73.80% Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. mcap $172M · float 45M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $ARI -63.57% Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. mcap $843M · float 130M shares · sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
  • $ATEC -31.14% Alphatec Holdings, Inc. mcap $1.8B · float 121M shares · sector: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
  • $INTC -25.94% Intel Corporation mcap $451.9B · float 4.5B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $FNGR -24.67% FingerMotion, Inc. mcap $15M · float 67M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $RDDT -19.76% Reddit, Inc. mcap $26.3B · float 141M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
  • $SNTI -18.57% Senti Biosciences Holdings, Inc. mcap $10M · float 13M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $TWLO -17.74% Twilio Inc. mcap $40.5B · float 153M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $RBLX -16.93% Roblox Corporation mcap $38.8B · float 633M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $REED -16.20% Reed's, Inc. mcap $8M · float 7M shares · sector: BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS

Civeo has no prior 5%-plus gap-up sessions in our history, so the only comparison that exists is the cross-stock one. Pull the earnings-day gap-up sample on FILTRIX.net and read the whole distribution, not just the 55.

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