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RBLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 453 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 β†’ 2025-02-07

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NYSE πŸ“… IPO: Mar 10, 2021 πŸ”— www.corp.roblox.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $52.03B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 2,474
Roblox operates a free-to-play online video game platform with about 150 million daily active users. This platform has spawned a virtual universe and a Roblox economy based on the Robux currency. The platform houses millions of games from a wide range of creatorsβ€”spanning from young gamers themselves to professional development studios. Roblox offers creators the tools, publishing abilities, and platform for their games, enabling anyone to create a game. Creators earn money when gamers make optional in-game purchases within their games and by offering space for real-world advertising, and Roblox earns revenue primarily by taking a cut of these earnings.
πŸ“Š
453
Total Alerts
🎯
49.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
πŸ’°
-0.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
πŸš€
+3.24%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +4.23%
Worst: -6.20%
Trades: 214/235

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -1.71%
Best: +7.93%
Worst: -8.25%
Trades: 218/232

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +16.67%
Worst: -11.10%
Trades: 223/227

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.55%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +27.38%
Worst: -11.09%
Trades: 218/233

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +3.46%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +22.03%
Worst: -11.92%
Trades: 215/237

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.24%
Best MFE: +32.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, RBLX alerts reach +3.24% profit potential within 120 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.23%
Worst MAE: -8.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.23%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 453 alerts, RBLX typically reaches +3.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 453
Gap Up % 46.8%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How RBLX compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RBLX: -0.02% Sector: -0.09% +0.07%
EOD Gain
RBLX: +0.00% Sector: +73.64% -73.63%
Avg MFE
RBLX: +3.24% Sector: +4.32% -1.09%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical RBLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:29:36 $66.61 -1.19% -0.07% +0.08% +2.16% -0.50% +3.81% -2.21% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:10 $61.67 +1.01% +4.61% +1.63% +3.60% +8.84% +10.04% -2.69% -2.49% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:43 $69.16 +1.50% +2.15% +1.81% +2.02% +2.20% +3.67% - +0.68% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:35 $71.6 -0.98% -0.71% -0.73% -0.82% -0.74% +0.41% -1.89% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:26:35 $62.75 -0.64% +0.55% +0.49% -1.32% -1.12% +1.35% +0.16% +0.13% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:33 $58.29 +1.27% -1.08% +0.48% +2.28% +2.74% +4.67% -1.10% +0.21% WIN
2024-12-10 09:25:12 $56.44 +0.94% +0.99% +0.62% +0.08% -0.32% +1.72% +0.35% +0.83% WIN
2024-12-02 09:26:48 $50.77 +0.85% +1.32% +0.77% +2.90% +2.74% +3.70% -0.02% +0.43% WIN
2024-11-26 09:25:30 $49.16 -0.39% +1.02% +1.16% +0.75% -0.20% +1.73% -0.41% +0.04% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:48 $49.41 -1.42% -1.90% -2.32% -2.06% -0.51% +0.16% -2.95% -0.57% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:19 $52.07 +0.24% -0.73% -1.66% -2.10% -1.06% +0.48% -0.46% +0.42% WIN
2024-11-18 09:29:46 $50.79 -0.16% -0.41% -0.22% -0.97% +0.47% +0.91% -1.14% +0.41% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:27:36 $52.45 -2.61% -1.60% -1.32% -1.51% -4.67% +1.18% -1.91% +0.55% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:29:11 $51.32 +1.03% +0.88% -0.45% +0.33% +0.23% +1.46% -1.29% -0.41% WIN
2024-10-31 09:25:03 $52.5 -4.86% -7.20% -3.20% -2.02% -1.49% +0.29% -8.57% -2.63% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:27:32 $42.2 -1.40% -0.59% +0.12% +0.05% +0.97% +1.80% -1.66% -0.13% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:26:22 $42.0 +0.10% +0.85% +0.86% +1.02% +0.33% +1.18% -0.07% +0.33% WIN
2024-10-23 09:27:50 $42.35 +0.97% -0.02% -0.47% -1.02% -2.81% +1.53% -0.21% +0.12% WIN
2024-10-22 09:25:55 $40.62 +0.98% +2.24% +0.73% +0.60% +1.65% +2.56% -0.02% +0.54% WIN
2024-10-17 09:29:57 $41.68 -1.32% -1.63% -1.51% -1.97% -4.37% +0.17% -0.07% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RBLX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.3% win rate and -0.02% average gain, RBLX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RBLX for short-selling strategies.

πŸ“‰ Turn Negative Expectancy Positive β†’

Why Analyze RBLX with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RBLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RBLX historically offers an average upside of +3.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š RBLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.3%, RBLX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RBLX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RBLX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests RBLX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.