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RDDT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-22 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 21, 2024 🔗 www.redditinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $45.25B 👥 Employees: 2,233
Reddit is a social media platform where users can engage in conversations, explore, and create communities centered around their interests. Founded in 2005 by Steve Huffman and Alexis Ohanian, Reddit has evolved into a vast network of user-generated content organized into specialized forums known as "subreddits." The platform's unique community-driven model relies on volunteer moderators to manage content and maintain subreddit guidelines. Reddit generates revenue through advertising, Premium Memberships, and data licensing agreements.
📊
52
Total Alerts
🎯
51.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.40%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +4.55%
Worst: -6.23%
Trades: 16/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +6.15%
Worst: -7.37%
Trades: 22/30

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.54%
Avg Loser: -2.75%
Best: +8.31%
Worst: -8.00%
Trades: 27/25

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +3.16%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +11.77%
Worst: -11.43%
Trades: 26/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +5.21%
Avg Loser: -3.91%
Best: +28.33%
Worst: -10.54%
Trades: 24/28

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.62%
Best MFE: +32.92%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, RDDT alerts reach +4.62% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.74%
Worst MAE: -6.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, RDDT typically reaches +4.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 48.1%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

How RDDT compares to 42 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RDDT: -0.42% Sector: -0.45% +0.03%
EOD Gain
RDDT: +0.30% Sector: +1109.54% -1109.24%
Avg MFE
RDDT: +4.62% Sector: +6.73% -2.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RDDT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:58 $202.8 -0.96% -2.30% +1.94% +3.45% +1.06% +5.67% -3.36% +0.55% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:21 $213.22 -0.48% +0.64% -0.03% +0.46% +1.52% +3.53% -1.04% +0.18% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:23 $228.38 -0.25% -0.92% -0.65% -1.26% -1.51% +0.89% -3.01% +0.18% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:44 $207.0 +1.62% +0.73% +3.42% +4.80% +4.01% +5.43% +0.07% +0.90% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:00 $189.37 +0.39% +4.15% +3.80% +3.84% +6.83% +8.52% -0.80% -0.13% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:06 $202.29 -0.30% -2.96% -1.70% -1.39% -0.14% +1.62% -3.27% -0.64% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:08 $175.4 -1.88% -1.45% +1.48% +2.78% +3.10% +4.67% -2.96% -0.67% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:13 $187.9 -0.60% -2.29% -1.28% -0.69% -2.21% +0.57% -0.21% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:26:25 $167.03 +0.70% +2.22% +3.30% +2.11% +2.98% +4.38% +0.13% +0.34% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:19 $181.9 +1.94% +2.40% +1.17% -0.79% -1.32% +3.18% -0.01% +0.06% WIN
2024-12-30 09:29:17 $167.79 -0.51% -1.61% -2.83% -1.38% -1.35% +1.19% -0.35% -0.25% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:29:25 $161.79 -1.29% +1.16% +0.68% +3.16% +5.51% +7.61% -1.87% +0.74% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:26:46 $169.0 +0.71% +1.19% +1.17% +0.31% +5.38% +6.72% -1.66% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-11 09:29:07 $163.05 -0.00% +0.16% +1.30% +0.85% +1.76% +3.44% -1.26% +0.58% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:28:43 $169.12 +0.61% +2.14% +2.51% +0.99% -7.80% +4.47% -1.38% -0.48% WIN
2024-12-09 09:29:33 $169.67 +0.58% +1.48% +5.08% -0.87% -1.47% +6.52% -0.35% +1.08% WIN
2024-12-05 09:25:43 $156.0 -0.81% -2.12% -2.12% -1.35% -1.87% +0.43% -3.04% -0.27% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:27:24 $149.94 -0.70% -0.98% +0.87% -2.40% -5.36% +1.47% -2.63% -0.29% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:26:21 $145.56 -1.06% -0.45% +2.01% +0.85% +0.76% +2.36% -1.60% -0.10% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:25:36 $140.03 +1.55% +0.94% +2.64% +3.35% +12.85% +13.18% -0.33% +0.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RDDT Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.9% win rate, RDDT has -0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making RDDT profitable.

🔧 Fix RDDT Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze RDDT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RDDT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RDDT historically offers an average upside of +4.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RDDT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.9%, RDDT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RDDT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.00%). This suggests RDDT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.