$CXAI drops 41% following its reverse split announcement, showcasing how retail consistently misjudges structural share reductions. Across 865 historical catalyst gap-downs exceeding 30%, the base rate shows a red close 59% of the time, with a median intraday return of -3.02%. Zooming into $CXAI specifically, out of 23 prior gap-down sessions, the stock faded to red 57% of the time. Management can adjust the share count on paper, but historical data confirms the market continues to sell the dilution narrative.
$CYCU -1.43% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $CYCU -1.43% mcap $7M · float 8M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES
- $OTLK -11.54% mcap $211M · float 154M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
- $INTC -1.12% mcap $492.8B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $SPCX -2.87%
- $GPUS -13.98% mcap $55M · float 480M shares · sector: OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
- $RCON -9.42% mcap $3M · float 9M shares · sector: OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
- $NVDA -0.05% mcap $5268.1B · float 23.4B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $CXAI -41.24% mcap $18M · float 95M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
- $BZAI -44.95% mcap $155M · float 94M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $TSLA -0.09% mcap $1314.4B · float 2.9B shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
Catching falling knives on guidance slashes is an expensive habit. Check the historical gap-down odds on FILTRIX.net before putting capital into a momentum fade. Discipline > FOMO
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