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$CYCU -1.43% — what the base rate says

$CYCU -1.43% — what the base rate says

$CXAI drops 41% following its reverse split announcement, showcasing how retail consistently misjudges structural share reductions. Across 865 historical catalyst gap-downs exceeding 30%, the base rate shows a red close 59% of the time, with a median intraday return of -3.02%. Zooming into $CXAI specifically, out of 23 prior gap-down sessions, the stock faded to red 57% of the time. Management can adjust the share count on paper, but historical data confirms the market continues to sell the dilution narrative.

What the data showed

  • $CYCU -1.43% Cycurion, Inc. mcap $7M · float 8M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES
  • $OTLK -11.54% Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. · closed red 54% · green 45% (n=618) mcap $211M · float 154M shares · sector: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
  • $INTC -1.12% Intel Corporation mcap $492.8B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $SPCX -2.87% Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
  • $GPUS -13.98% Hyperscale Data, Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $55M · float 480M shares · sector: OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
  • $RCON -9.42% Recon Technology, Ltd. mcap $3M · float 9M shares · sector: OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
  • $NVDA -0.05% NVIDIA Corporation mcap $5268.1B · float 23.4B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $CXAI -41.24% CXApp Inc. · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $18M · float 95M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $BZAI -44.95% Blaize Holdings, Inc. · closed red 52% · green 47% (n=58) mcap $155M · float 94M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $TSLA -0.09% Tesla, Inc. mcap $1314.4B · float 2.9B shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

Catching falling knives on guidance slashes is an expensive habit. Check the historical gap-down odds on FILTRIX.net before putting capital into a momentum fade. Discipline > FOMO

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