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OTLK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 84 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2025-01-16

⚠️ Small sample size (84 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 13, 2016 🔗 www.outlooktherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $32.2M 👥 Employees: 17
Outlook Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing ONS-5010, a monoclonal antibody, or mAb, for various ophthalmic indications. The Company have received marketing authorization for an ophthalmic formulation of ONS-5010/LYTENAVA (bevacizumab-gamma) for use in treating wet age-related macular degeneration, or wet AMD, in the European Union, and United Kingdom. The product pipeline includes ONS-5010/LYTENAVA, which is in total eight NORSES; ONS-5010 Clinical Progress, Unmet Patient Needs, New Ophthalmic Anti-VEGF, and Potential First Line Therapy.
📊
84
Total Alerts
🎯
76.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+782.63%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+10.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -2.37%
Best: +10.95%
Worst: -10.97%
Trades: 40/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +11.46%
Worst: -11.43%
Trades: 38/46

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +4.27%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +28.75%
Worst: -17.32%
Trades: 43/39

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +5.37%
Avg Loser: -3.99%
Best: +26.90%
Worst: -23.19%
Trades: 41/42

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 76.2%
Avg Gain: +782.63%
Avg Winner: +1028.89%
Avg Loser: -5.69%
Best: +2489.76%
Worst: -23.51%
Trades: 64/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.10%
Best MFE: +125.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, OTLK alerts reach +10.10% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.95%
Worst MAE: -13.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.95%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 84 alerts, OTLK typically reaches +10.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 84
Gap Up % 48.8%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +4.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How OTLK compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OTLK: -0.01% Sector: -0.41% +0.40%
EOD Gain
OTLK: +782.63% Sector: +1233.50% -450.87%
Avg MFE
OTLK: +10.10% Sector: +6.69% +3.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OTLK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:26:23 $2.12 +1.89% +1.42% -2.83% -0.53% +3.30% +5.66% +0.47% +0.47% WIN
2024-12-27 09:29:26 $1.83 -4.92% -1.09% +3.83% +2.19% +9.84% +19.13% -8.74% -1.09% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:25:42 $2.0 -3.50% -5.00% -0.10% -2.50% -9.75% +2.50% -10.00% -1.00% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:28:55 $2.04 +5.64% +5.88% +11.76% +12.75% -0.49% +18.63% - +1.47% WIN
2024-11-29 09:29:27 $1.69 +10.95% +6.51% +5.88% +7.69% +21.30% +23.67% -0.01% +0.59% WIN
2024-11-27 09:25:39 $0.98 -8.16% -6.12% +9.19% +25.00% +73.47% +125.51% -11.22% +0.10% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:27:11 $9.3 +1.83% -3.23% -4.73% -2.12% +0.75% +13.44% -5.70% +0.65% WIN
2024-03-25 09:28:07 $8.74 -3.55% -8.12% -9.61% -6.52% -2.63% +2.17% -11.90% - LOSS
2024-03-22 09:26:44 $10.72 -5.50% -9.18% -11.61% -13.31% -19.50% +9.33% -5.50% +0.47% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:26:00 $0.49 +2.02% -0.41% -3.07% -2.55% +1788.55% +2.06% - +2.06% WIN
2023-12-19 09:26:00 $0.37 +0.05% -1.92% -0.13% -3.33% +11.21% +11.56% -5.86% -0.54% WIN
2023-12-06 09:25:00 $0.45 -0.67% -0.07% -0.89% - +1877.78% +0.18% -2.22% - LOSS
2023-12-04 09:27:00 $0.45 +0.09% +0.88% +1.61% +0.44% -3.58% +1.63% -13.91% -13.91% WIN
2023-12-01 09:29:00 $0.48 - -0.33% - +0.10% -1.29% +0.21% -2.92% -0.79% -
2023-11-29 09:27:00 $0.48 +0.19% +0.19% +0.06% -1.38% +0.21% +1.44% -0.61% +0.19% WIN
2023-11-27 09:27:00 $0.45 +3.47% +1.62% +2.63% +4.61% +5.10% +7.28% +0.33% +3.47% WIN
2023-11-21 09:26:00 $0.44 -0.66% -2.49% -1.57% -2.11% -1.69% -0.66% -2.06% -1.24% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:25:00 $0.42 -2.13% +2.63% +1.90% +1.40% +1985.31% +4.24% -5.17% - LOSS
2023-11-13 09:29:00 $0.4 -0.02% -0.42% -0.91% -0.97% +1905.95% +1.56% -2.01% -2.01% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:28:00 $0.46 -3.62% -5.62% -10.71% -12.65% +1642.16% -3.09% -3.51% -3.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 76.2% Baseline on OTLK

The 76.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OTLK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OTLK Strategy →

Why Analyze OTLK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OTLK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OTLK historically offers an average upside of +10.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OTLK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 76.2%, OTLK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OTLK performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +782.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.