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$DFNS -15.37% — what the base rate says

$DFNS -15.37% — what the base rate says

$YHC announced a 1-for-100 reverse stock split and immediately shed 21% of its value.

When a company has to group 100 of your shares together just to keep the stock price above a dollar, it isn't an corporate upgrade—it is a financial triage clinic.

Let's look at the historical data: setups that gap down 20% or more on reverse split announcements close red 56% of the time. There is no magical rebound. It is simply a slower elevator ride to the basement. Don't let a cheap share price trick you into thinking it's 'discounted' when the printing press is still running.

What the data showed

  • $DFNS -15.37% T3 Defense Inc. · closed red 55% · green 44% (n=3,606) mcap $13M · float 58M shares · sector: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
  • $ELPW -44.15% Elong Power Holding Limited · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $8M · float 6M shares
  • $YHC -21.31% LQR House Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $4M · float 21M shares · sector: BEVERAGES
  • $OPEN -9.06% Opendoor Technologies Inc. mcap $4.6B · float 948M shares · sector: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)
  • $FRMI -12.50% Fermi Inc. · closed red 53% · green 46% (n=6,903) mcap $4.7B · float 270M shares · sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
  • $INTC -2.62% Intel Corporation mcap $554.1B · float 4.0B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $AAL -0.82% American Airlines Group Inc. mcap $10.9B · float 650M shares · sector: AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
  • $ONDS -3.73% Ondas Inc. mcap $4.3B · float 492M shares · sector: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

Before you buy the next 'AI intent' pump or catch a falling knife on dilution, check the historical win rate of the setup on FILTRIX.net. Trade data, not your emotions. Discipline > FOMO

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