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OPEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 633 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Opendoor Technologies Inc Common Stock REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS) (SIC 6531)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 21, 2020 🔗 www.opendoor.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.73B 👥 Employees: 1,470
Opendoor Technologies Inc is an end-to-end real estate platform enabling customers to sell and buy a home online. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, its core product where sellers sell their homes directly to the company, and it resells those homes to buyers; List with Opendoor, for customers to list their homes with a partner agent; and Opendoor Marketplace, a capital light marketplace offering that connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers. In addition to these products, the company also offers its customers integrated title insurance and escrow services through its subsidiaries. A vast majority of the company's revenue is generated by its core product offering, where it acquires homes directly from sellers and resells those homes to buyers.
📊
633
Total Alerts
🎯
44.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.34%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.9%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +6.76%
Worst: -7.64%
Trades: 252/359

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -2.35%
Best: +10.76%
Worst: -17.00%
Trades: 270/353

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +12.32%
Worst: -20.41%
Trades: 279/345

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +21.68%
Worst: -16.76%
Trades: 267/360

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +4.73%
Avg Loser: -4.53%
Best: +26.35%
Worst: -17.48%
Trades: 274/346

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.53%
Best MFE: +26.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 106 min

On average, OPEN alerts reach +4.53% profit potential within 106 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -10.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 633 alerts, OPEN typically reaches +4.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 633
Gap Up % 26.1%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +2.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)

How OPEN compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OPEN: -0.31% Sector: -0.28% -0.03%
EOD Gain
OPEN: -0.43% Sector: +166.55% -166.98%
Avg MFE
OPEN: +4.52% Sector: +5.24% -0.72%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OPEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:06 $1.51 +3.97% +1.99% +0.83% -0.99% +2.65% +4.64% +0.65% +1.32% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:21 $1.48 +2.03% -2.36% -1.36% -1.01% +1.35% +2.70% -3.38% -0.68% WIN
2025-02-12 09:28:27 $1.32 +1.50% +4.55% +7.77% +9.47% +11.36% +13.64% -0.76% -0.76% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:39 $1.36 +4.41% +4.41% +7.35% +7.72% +1.47% +9.56% -0.74% -0.74% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:59 $1.35 +0.37% +1.30% +1.11% +1.11% +1.48% +2.96% -0.74% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:23 $1.38 +1.81% -0.72% +0.36% -0.36% -2.90% +2.17% -1.45% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:27 $1.38 +2.20% +1.46% +0.36% +2.15% +0.72% +3.62% -0.72% +1.45% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:59 $1.33 +1.13% +1.88% +1.50% +2.35% +3.76% +6.01% - - WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:26 $1.32 +0.38% -0.70% +0.87% +0.77% - +3.03% -1.52% -0.38% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:14 $1.31 +0.76% -0.76% +0.37% +2.37% +0.76% +3.05% -2.29% +0.76% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:21 $1.43 +0.31% +0.71% -0.35% +0.70% -3.50% +2.10% -0.70% -0.70% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:39 $1.48 +1.35% +1.35% -0.22% -0.34% -3.38% +3.38% - +0.68% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:17 $1.47 +3.06% +0.34% -1.36% +1.02% -0.68% +3.40% - +0.68% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:07 $1.38 +0.40% -1.44% +1.09% +1.45% +8.70% +12.32% -2.17% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:35 $1.38 -0.62% +0.72% +3.62% +3.64% - +5.07% -1.45% -0.72% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:03 $1.44 +0.78% +0.80% +0.35% -0.35% -2.78% +1.39% -0.69% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:34 $1.39 -0.36% -2.16% -2.16% -1.45% +2.88% +3.60% -2.88% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:25 $1.41 -2.18% -1.77% -2.13% -1.33% -0.71% +1.42% -4.26% -0.35% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:56 $1.47 -0.77% -3.06% -3.06% -2.33% -4.76% +0.68% +0.68% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:49 $1.59 +1.88% -0.63% -0.52% -3.77% -9.43% +1.89% - +1.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OPEN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.1% win rate and -0.34% average gain, OPEN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OPEN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OPEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OPEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OPEN historically offers an average upside of +4.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OPEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.1%, OPEN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OPEN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OPEN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.34%). This suggests OPEN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.