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ONDS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 60 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-26 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (60 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 01, 2018 🔗 www.ondas.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.16B 👥 Employees: 108
Ondas Inc designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and supports FullMAX Software Defined Radio (SDR) technology in the United States, Israel, and India. The company operates in two business segments namely Ondas Networks and Ondas Autonomous Systems. The company generates maximum revenue from Ondas Autonomous Systems through the sales of the Optimus system and separately priced support, maintenance, and ancillary services related to the sale of the Optimus system.
📊
60
Total Alerts
🎯
44.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-1.95%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +2.47%
Avg Loser: -3.68%
Best: +5.92%
Worst: -19.32%
Trades: 21/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -1.37%
Avg Winner: +3.51%
Avg Loser: -4.85%
Best: +11.84%
Worst: -14.10%
Trades: 25/35

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -1.95%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -6.46%
Best: +23.69%
Worst: -16.63%
Trades: 26/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.6%
Avg Gain: -2.81%
Avg Winner: +5.43%
Avg Loser: -7.37%
Best: +30.58%
Worst: -17.61%
Trades: 21/38

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +8.15%
Avg Loser: -7.78%
Best: +22.76%
Worst: -32.22%
Trades: 26/34

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.52%
Best MFE: +40.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, ONDS alerts reach +8.52% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.67%
Worst MAE: -10.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 60 alerts, ONDS typically reaches +8.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 60
Gap Up % 23.3%
Avg Gap -0.74%
Best Gap +2.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How ONDS compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ONDS: -1.40% Sector: -0.25% -1.15%
EOD Gain
ONDS: -1.10% Sector: +37.08% -38.18%
Avg MFE
ONDS: +8.33% Sector: +4.58% +3.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ONDS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:01 $1.91 +2.62% -2.62% -1.43% -1.05% -4.19% +3.10% -0.52% -0.52% WIN
2025-02-12 09:25:53 $2.01 -1.99% +3.98% +5.93% +4.97% -3.48% +6.47% -3.45% +0.99% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:21 $2.06 -0.94% -1.97% +0.97% -0.24% +1.94% +8.25% -2.91% -0.49% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:46 $2.01 -7.21% -7.33% -7.46% -8.43% +4.48% +5.47% -9.42% -0.50% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:56 $1.79 +2.23% +3.63% +5.31% +4.75% +6.70% +7.26% -0.56% -0.56% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:03 $1.69 +5.92% +5.92% +4.14% +3.55% +4.14% +9.47% -0.59% -0.59% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:04 $1.63 -0.31% +0.92% +1.85% +3.03% +3.68% +4.29% -0.61% -0.61% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:13 $1.61 -3.49% -2.17% - +2.19% -0.62% +4.31% -6.83% - LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:46 $1.74 +0.57% +0.57% +0.86% +1.15% -1.72% +4.02% -4.02% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:02 $1.89 +1.59% +1.32% +4.50% +3.70% +2.65% +5.82% -1.59% - WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:29 $2.1 -3.24% -3.70% -2.47% +1.67% -2.86% +5.24% -5.71% -1.90% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:30 $2.19 +2.28% +2.74% +0.55% +2.51% -3.65% +5.02% -1.83% -0.91% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:18 $2.05 +2.48% +2.68% +9.27% +10.77% +15.61% +20.00% -2.93% +0.98% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:08 $2.06 -1.46% -1.42% +0.73% -2.43% -2.43% +3.88% -3.88% +1.94% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:26 $2.2 -4.77% -4.09% -4.06% -5.94% -5.91% +0.45% - - LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:14 $2.28 -7.02% -8.55% -7.68% -8.99% -3.51% -0.44% -6.58% -0.44% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:22 $2.09 -3.83% -2.63% -2.39% -0.95% +5.74% +8.03% -4.34% -1.44% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:16 $1.96 -1.02% +3.10% +1.12% +7.40% +1.53% +8.67% -3.06% -3.06% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:32 $2.05 +5.37% +3.17% +0.73% -7.32% -8.29% +6.83% -2.93% - WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:58 $2.39 -0.42% -1.05% -1.46% -5.23% -6.28% +2.93% -2.09% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ONDS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.1% win rate and -1.95% average gain, ONDS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ONDS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ONDS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ONDS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ONDS historically offers an average upside of +8.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ONDS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.1%, ONDS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ONDS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ONDS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.95%). This suggests ONDS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.