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$SPCE -27.23% — what the base rate says

$SPCE -27.23% — what the base rate says

The SpaceX ($SPCX) debut has retail acting like starry-eyed tourists. To buy the shiny new thing, traders are panic-selling their existing space portfolios—smashing $SPCE down -27%, $RDW down -8%, and $RKLB down -6% just to free up cash. History shows that for catalyst-driven gaps above 20% like $SPCX, the setup closes red 62% of the time across 4,898 historic cases.

On the other side of the tape, Pop Culture Group ($CPOP) executed the ultimate corporate rug pull, dumping 53 million shares at a massive discount to erase Wednesday's entire 322% earnings pump. It is currently down -80%.

Receipts time: grading our June 10 calls. $VSME is down -46% (Win). $MSW is up +5% since our warning (Miss). We keep it 100 on both.

Before you chase $BYAH’s 'AI skincare' pivot, close the charts and enjoy your Friday.

What the data showed

  • $SPCE -27.23% Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. · closed red 56% · green 43% (n=2,153) mcap $479M · float 99M shares · sector: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
  • $PAVS -32.79% Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. · closed red 62% · green 37% (n=641) mcap $1M · float 2M shares
  • $CPOP -80.55% Pop Culture Group Co., Ltd · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=865) mcap $25M · float 2M shares
  • $SMCI -4.04% Super Micro Computer, Inc. mcap $24.4B · float 516M shares · sector: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
  • $RDW -8.25% Redwire Corporation mcap $3.1B · float 156M shares · sector: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
  • $RKLB -6.65% Rocket Lab Corporation mcap $67.6B · float 473M shares · sector: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
  • $WOK -20.22% WORK Medical Technology Group LTD · closed red 59% · green 40% (n=1,421) mcap $5M · float 1M shares

Before you let Friday FOMO dictate your weekend mood, run the historical odds on FILTRIX.net. The math doesn't care about chatroom hype. Discipline > FOMO

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