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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SPCE

Trade-Ideas alerts 69.5% at EOD n=499 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. TRANSPORTATION SERVICES (SIC 4700)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 29, 2017 🔗 www.virgingalactic.com
💰 Market Cap: $459.3M 👥 Employees: 694
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is a United States-based vertically integrated aerospace company pioneering human spaceflight for private individuals & researchers, and it also manufactures air and space vehicles. Using technologies, the company is developing a spaceflight system designed to offer its customers a multi-day and transformative experience. This culminates in a spaceflight that includes views of Earth from space and several minutes of weightlessness that will launch from Spaceport America, New Mexico.
Total alerts
499
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
69.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+891.62%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.96%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SPCE on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +7.19%
Worst: -6.76%
Trades: 210/271

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +2.17%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +8.48%
Worst: -15.16%
Trades: 209/274

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +13.06%
Worst: -25.04%
Trades: 211/280

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.92%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +16.49%
Worst: -25.70%
Trades: 227/267

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 69.5%
Avg Gain: +891.62%
Avg Winner: +1284.00%
Avg Loser: -4.43%
Best: +2383.47%
Worst: -31.80%
Trades: 347/142

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.96%
Best MFE: +37.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, SPCE alerts reach +3.96% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.55%
Worst MAE: -9.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 499 alerts, SPCE typically reaches +3.96% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 499
Gap Up % 30.5%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +1.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

How SPCE compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPCE: -0.26% Sector: -0.18% -0.07%
EOD Gain
SPCE: +891.62% Sector: +729.29% +162.33%
Avg MFE
SPCE: +3.96% Sector: +3.73% +0.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPCE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $3.05 +0.00% -2.62% -0.32% +0.00% -0.66% +1.64% -2.62% +0.33% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $3.0 -1.24% -3.17% -2.17% -0.83% -0.33% +1.00% -4.00% -0.67% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $3.09 -1.28% -1.28% +0.65% +0.50% -3.22% +1.80% -1.60% -0.31% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $3.31 -1.21% -1.81% -1.81% -3.17% -5.74% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $3.32 +0.15% -0.72% -1.66% -1.51% +0.00% +1.66% +0.00% +0.90% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $3.1 +1.29% +1.77% +0.00% +1.75% +6.77% +6.77% -0.65% +0.81% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $3.12 +1.95% -3.56% -1.76% -2.40% -1.60% +3.08% +0.00% +1.92% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $2.98 +0.34% +0.84% +1.51% +3.19% +4.36% +6.71% -0.34% -0.17% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $3.03 -0.33% -0.54% -0.04% -1.16% -3.30% +0.33% -0.66% -0.66% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $2.89 +0.70% +0.35% +1.21% +2.94% +4.50% +5.19% -0.34% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $2.91 +0.34% +1.55% +1.03% +2.58% +0.00% +3.61% -0.34% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $2.97 +1.26% +0.25% +1.38% +0.25% +2.44% +2.77% -1.61% -0.60% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $2.98 +0.50% +2.14% +1.68% +0.67% -0.67% +3.36% +0.00% +0.34% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $2.91 -0.17% -0.52% -0.17% -1.20% +0.00% +2.33% -1.37% -0.34% LOSS
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $3.33 -3.60% -3.61% -2.85% -1.95% -6.01% +0.60% -0.60% -2.10% LOSS
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $3.12 +7.19% +7.93% +8.31% +6.23% +6.39% +11.19% -0.02% -0.02% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $2.85 +0.35% +6.96% +10.70% +12.46% +10.18% +13.68% -1.75% +0.00% WIN
2026-08-11 09:25:00 $3.25 +0.46% -0.77% -2.16% +0.92% +1.39% +2.00% -2.62% -0.46% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $3.09 +1.94% -0.16% +0.49% +1.62% +4.53% +4.85% -0.65% +1.29% WIN
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $2.98 +0.50% +3.14% +2.51% +3.01% +3.85% +5.86% -0.67% -0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 69.5% Baseline on SPCE

The 69.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SPCE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPCE Strategy →

Why Analyze SPCE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPCE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPCE historically offers an average upside of +3.96% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPCE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.5%, SPCE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPCE performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +891.62%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.