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RDW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-03 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 03, 2021 🔗 www.redwirespace.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.07B 👥 Employees: 750
Redwire Corp is engaged in mission-critical space solutions and reliable components for the next-generation space economy. It assists its customers in solving the complex challenges of future space missions and industries. The company's space infrastructure offerings include a broad array of modern products and services, which have been enabling space missions. The company's plan enables it to combine decades of flight heritage with a culture creating new technologies that are the building blocks of space infrastructure for government and commercial customers.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+10.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +5.74%
Worst: -5.63%
Trades: 7/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +1.06%
Avg Winner: +4.62%
Avg Loser: -5.18%
Best: +12.07%
Worst: -14.65%
Trades: 7/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: +1.62%
Avg Winner: +11.95%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +17.05%
Worst: -11.53%
Trades: 3/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +1.57%
Avg Winner: +5.81%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +15.68%
Worst: -12.15%
Trades: 6/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: +2.50%
Avg Winner: +10.15%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +39.48%
Worst: -15.97%
Trades: 5/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.47%
Best MFE: +40.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, RDW alerts reach +10.47% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.97%
Worst MAE: -10.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, RDW typically reaches +10.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 45.5%
Avg Gap +0.21%
Best Gap +2.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS

How RDW compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RDW: +0.31% Sector: -0.22% +0.53%
EOD Gain
RDW: +2.50% Sector: +1766.07% -1763.57%
Avg MFE
RDW: +10.47% Sector: +5.23% +5.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RDW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:29:52 $22.4 +0.62% +0.67% -1.54% -1.74% -0.94% +3.53% -1.43% +0.31% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:45 $20.81 +5.01% +2.23% -0.62% +3.03% +4.04% +5.86% +1.44% +1.87% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:25 $16.01 +2.12% +8.77% +17.05% +15.68% +39.48% +40.54% -0.50% -0.31% WIN
2023-03-23 09:26:00 $3.02 -1.07% -1.99% -0.99% -0.66% -1.66% +3.31% -2.62% -1.32% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:28:00 $4.01 +5.74% +4.03% +3.49% -1.50% -2.24% +14.21% +2.00% +2.74% WIN
2023-02-17 09:28:00 $3.9 +0.51% +2.56% -1.28% +2.14% +1.28% +6.92% - +1.54% WIN
2023-02-16 09:27:00 $3.91 -5.63% -4.09% - -1.56% -1.02% +7.93% -10.23% +2.05% LOSS
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $6.41 +2.96% +2.01% -0.47% +0.47% -1.40% +4.52% -0.94% -0.94% WIN
2022-04-01 09:25:00 $7.2 -4.86% -14.65% -11.53% -12.15% -15.97% +0.97% -2.50% -0.69% LOSS
2022-02-04 09:25:00 $5.55 +0.69% -0.00% -1.62% +1.44% +4.32% +7.57% -2.34% -0.72% WIN
2022-02-03 09:25:00 $5.55 -2.70% +12.07% +15.32% +12.09% +1.62% +19.82% -4.50% -2.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on RDW

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RDW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RDW Strategy →

Why Analyze RDW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RDW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RDW historically offers an average upside of +10.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RDW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, RDW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RDW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.