$SMCI
Trade-Ideas alerts 49.9% at 60-min n=387 2022-07-21 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading SMCI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SMCI alerts reach +3.81% profit potential within 113 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.55%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.46x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 387 alerts, SMCI typically reaches +3.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
How SMCI compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SMCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $42.67 | -0.51% | +0.19% | +2.21% | +3.95% | +2.39% | +4.49% | -0.91% | +0.25% | LOSS |
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $40.98 | -0.51% | +0.62% | -0.41% | -1.61% | +2.30% | +2.54% | -2.07% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-30 | 09:25:00 | $42.11 | +0.13% | -2.18% | -2.92% | -2.94% | -2.47% | +1.35% | -0.50% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2026-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $42.62 | -0.16% | -0.80% | -0.58% | -1.24% | -3.75% | +0.16% | -0.77% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-28 | 09:25:00 | $42.73 | +0.60% | -0.53% | -0.94% | -2.14% | -2.23% | +0.76% | -0.46% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2026-09-25 | 09:25:00 | $42.08 | +0.20% | +1.57% | +2.80% | +2.23% | +2.80% | +3.99% | -0.43% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $40.46 | +0.27% | +1.51% | +0.40% | -0.22% | +2.60% | +4.50% | -1.51% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $42.07 | +0.18% | -1.53% | -0.49% | -1.22% | -1.51% | +1.49% | -3.05% | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $41.09 | +0.11% | +0.30% | -0.24% | -0.89% | +1.10% | +1.58% | -1.56% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $40.63 | -0.71% | -0.30% | +1.30% | +1.91% | +1.40% | +2.68% | -1.55% | +0.00% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-18 | 09:25:00 | $40.22 | -1.47% | -2.50% | -2.46% | -4.01% | -2.81% | +0.47% | -1.79% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $37.94 | +0.40% | +2.06% | +3.45% | +3.98% | +6.35% | +8.08% | -0.32% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2026-09-16 | 09:25:00 | $35.94 | -0.35% | +1.81% | +2.53% | +1.70% | +2.53% | +3.28% | -0.83% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $36.69 | +0.84% | +1.38% | +1.55% | +0.09% | -2.86% | +2.34% | -0.08% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $37.52 | -1.24% | -0.95% | -0.12% | -0.30% | -2.07% | +1.54% | -3.03% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $37.71 | +0.47% | +0.19% | +1.46% | +6.12% | +6.34% | +7.27% | -0.56% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $37.7 | +0.50% | +2.70% | +3.07% | +3.31% | -0.86% | +4.13% | -0.48% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $39.55 | +0.58% | -0.05% | +0.95% | +1.06% | -1.57% | +1.59% | -0.71% | +1.15% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $39.8 | +1.09% | +2.75% | +2.79% | +3.19% | +1.16% | +4.35% | -0.49% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2026-09-04 | 09:25:00 | $38.37 | -1.04% | +1.09% | +1.56% | +2.99% | +3.18% | +6.62% | -1.17% | -0.55% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ SMCI Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.9% win rate and -0.01% average gain, SMCI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SMCI for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze SMCI with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMCI historically offers an average upside of +3.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SMCI Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.9%, SMCI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SMCI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SMCI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests SMCI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.