FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
← All insights

$SPCX -8.70% — what the base rate says

$SPCX -8.70% — what the base rate says

The explanation attached to $SPCX -8.70% is political: this week's midterms, a Democratic win, a worry about data-center and AI regulation, a $1.9 trillion company trading like a ballot measure. That is the write-up from an hour ago. The number worth the screen came in an earlier piece today and has no party affiliation: AI compute is now over half of SpaceX's sales, one customer, Anthropic, is 34.5% of total revenue, and from early 2027 either side can cancel on 90 days' notice.

A regulatory mood cannot be sized. A 90-day clause can. The first is the reason on offer for today; the second is a hinge in the revenue line that stays there whoever won. Nothing in the feed says anyone intends to use it; nothing says the notice period has been priced, either.

Same morning, a different concentration: six names, Nvidia among them, are 30.8% of the S&P 500. #NVDA is -7.37% ahead of its own Nov. 17 report, with guidance already calling for 106% annual revenue growth. Index concentration is the complaint everyone has memorized. Customer concentration is the version with a notice period.

The window opens in early 2027. The Qualcomm-built Starlink Mobile 5G sites, per another note today, are planned for 2027 as well. Two lines on one calendar, and the feed does not say which one is bigger.

What the data showed

  • $NVDA -7.37% NVIDIA Corporation mcap $4990.9B · float 23.2B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $INTC -5.83% Intel Corporation mcap $321.8B · float 4.5B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $SPCX -8.70% Space Exploration Technologies Corp. mcap $1919.1B · float 5.0B shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $IREN -16.17% IREN Limited mcap $9.9B · float 384M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $NOK -8.90% Nokia Oyj mcap $47.5B · float 5.7B shares · sector: Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
  • $CDT -19.06% CDT Equity Inc. mcap $51,639 · float 1M shares · sector: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
  • $GRAB -0.15% Grab Holdings Limited mcap $14.9B · float 2.8B shares
  • $DVLT -18.55% Datavault AI Inc. mcap $69M · float 971M shares · sector: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
  • $SHFS -7.86% SHF Holdings, Inc. mcap $42,754 · float 919,166 shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
  • $CRWV -12.01% CoreWeave, Inc. mcap $29.6B · float 371M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

The FILTRIX.net file holds exactly one prior SpaceX session that opened 5% or more below the previous close; check the sample size before you borrow a 'usually' for a name with one morning on record.

Find Your Edge on FILTRIX →