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IREN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 278 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-16 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

IREN Limited Ordinary Shares FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 2021 🔗 iren.com
💰 Market Cap: $18.61B 👥 Employees: 257
IREN Ltd is engaged in data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond utilizing renewable energy. Bitcoin mining operations generate revenue by earning Bitcoin through a combination of Block rewards and transaction fees from the operation of its Bitcoin miners and exchanging these Bitcoin for fiat currencies such as USD or CAD.
📊
278
Total Alerts
🎯
47.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+5.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +10.77%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 132/140

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.44%
Best: +15.55%
Worst: -11.30%
Trades: 133/140

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +3.25%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +20.79%
Worst: -12.87%
Trades: 131/142

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +3.94%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +24.96%
Worst: -14.43%
Trades: 133/144

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +6.26%
Avg Loser: -4.90%
Best: +31.97%
Worst: -18.47%
Trades: 123/153

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.39%
Best MFE: +41.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, IREN alerts reach +5.39% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.08%
Worst MAE: -8.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 278 alerts, IREN typically reaches +5.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 278
Gap Up % 30.9%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +3.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How IREN compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
IREN: -0.05% Sector: -0.22% +0.17%
EOD Gain
IREN: +0.07% Sector: +101.11% -101.03%
Avg MFE
IREN: +5.39% Sector: +5.23% +0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical IREN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:26 $13.06 -1.45% +0.31% -0.31% -0.15% -0.38% +1.99% -1.76% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:28 $12.9 -5.59% -4.50% -3.26% -2.52% +1.40% +2.09% -5.81% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:15 $11.99 +1.50% +2.42% +2.79% +1.83% +8.51% +9.84% -0.17% +0.25% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:20 $12.75 -0.94% +0.78% +1.57% -0.12% -2.59% +1.80% -1.88% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:05 $12.8 -1.05% -0.68% -0.39% +0.23% +0.47% +2.81% -2.34% -1.33% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:15 $12.0 +3.71% +1.92% +0.15% +0.67% +3.92% +5.21% -0.21% -0.08% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:50 $11.29 +4.77% +2.66% +1.99% +4.56% +2.66% +6.20% -0.62% -0.62% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:08 $10.71 +1.82% +1.68% +1.26% +2.10% -0.28% +2.71% -0.56% +0.09% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:27 $9.13 +4.36% +6.01% +6.68% +9.53% +16.98% +19.28% -0.88% +2.08% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:57 $10.75 -0.09% -1.12% -1.16% -0.65% -4.93% +0.56% -2.33% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:41 $10.21 +1.52% +4.12% +4.11% +1.03% +0.88% +5.19% +0.10% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:59 $10.0 +0.20% +0.10% +0.48% -1.30% -0.20% +2.20% -0.80% +0.65% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:27 $10.5 -3.62% -6.90% -5.24% -6.43% -4.00% -0.66% -1.05% -1.14% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:32 $11.65 -5.02% -7.04% -4.22% -6.31% -13.39% +0.17% -4.81% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:53 $12.5 -1.84% -3.32% -0.76% +3.04% +6.56% +9.00% -4.08% - LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:17 $11.35 +0.09% +3.52% +6.34% +4.18% +8.19% +10.48% -0.88% -0.44% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:48 $10.78 +0.06% +2.13% +1.76% +2.37% +8.16% +10.58% -0.74% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:50 $11.2 +0.09% -4.24% -7.10% -7.68% -3.48% +1.79% -2.68% +0.18% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:58 $12.02 +0.85% +0.33% +2.69% +0.83% -0.25% +4.83% -1.33% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:36 $11.51 -0.87% -1.66% -2.14% -1.58% -0.52% +1.39% -1.13% +0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.8% Baseline on IREN

The 47.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push IREN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize IREN Strategy →

Why Analyze IREN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for IREN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, IREN historically offers an average upside of +5.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 IREN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.8%, IREN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show IREN performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.