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Latest signal:

AAAU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-11 → 2022-05-27

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF Shares COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 CBOE BZX 📅 IPO: Feb 03, 2022
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.19%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +0.36%
Worst: -0.22%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.51%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.15%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +0.77%
Worst: -0.38%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.47%
Best MFE: +1.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 71 min

On average, AAAU alerts reach +0.47% profit potential within 71 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -0.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, AAAU typically reaches +0.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.10%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How AAAU compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AAAU: +0.03% Sector: -0.01% +0.03%
EOD Gain
AAAU: +0.20% Sector: +257.70% -257.50%
Avg MFE
AAAU: +0.65% Sector: +1.89% -1.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AAAU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $18.48 - -0.22% -0.17% - -0.38% - -0.11% -0.16% -
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $19.15 +0.05% +0.10% +0.31% - -0.37% +0.57% -0.10% +0.05% WIN
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $19.48 +0.05% +0.10% -0.51% -0.15% -0.36% +0.13% -0.10% - WIN
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $19.55 - +0.36% +0.43% +0.56% +0.77% +1.18% -0.10% +0.10% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on AAAU

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AAAU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AAAU Strategy →

Why Analyze AAAU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAAU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAAU historically offers an average upside of +0.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AAAU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, AAAU shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AAAU performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.