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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$UNG

Trade-Ideas alerts 62.2% at EOD n=903 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

United States Natural Gas Fund, LP Unit COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Apr 18, 2007
Total alerts
903
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
62.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+80.62%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.03%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading UNG on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable UNG setups

Historical UNG setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 425/430

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -8.51%
Trades: 435/442

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -10.42%
Trades: 409/479

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +7.12%
Worst: -12.31%
Trades: 430/462

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.2%
Avg Gain: +80.62%
Avg Winner: +130.82%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +331.95%
Worst: -9.95%
Trades: 560/329

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.03%
Best MFE: +11.87%
Avg Time to MFE: 152 min

On average, UNG alerts reach +2.03% profit potential within 152 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -6.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 903 alerts, UNG typically reaches +2.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 903
Gap Up % 45.4%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +1.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How UNG compares to 57 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UNG: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
UNG: +80.80% Sector: +163.64% -82.84%
Avg MFE
UNG: +2.03% Sector: +1.86% +0.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UNG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $10.19 -0.10% -0.10% +0.00% +0.98% +2.75% +2.93% -0.28% -0.19% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $10.36 +0.05% +0.11% -0.43% -0.05% -1.93% +0.29% -0.19% -0.10% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $10.32 -0.05% -0.34% -0.92% -0.19% +0.48% +1.36% -1.16% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $10.47 +0.57% +0.14% -0.05% -0.01% -1.15% +0.76% +0.00% +0.38% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $10.79 +0.14% +0.09% -0.14% +0.23% +0.00% +1.30% -1.76% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $11.05 +0.05% -0.17% -0.44% -1.08% +0.73% +1.37% -1.71% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $10.78 +0.09% +0.42% +0.28% +1.02% +7.14% +8.26% +0.00% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $10.86 +0.09% -0.87% -1.01% -1.56% +0.09% +0.55% -1.80% +0.09% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $10.35 -0.08% +0.40% +1.32% +1.92% +4.94% +4.94% -0.26% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $10.3 +0.19% +0.39% +0.73% +0.05% -0.39% +0.99% -0.10% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $10.41 -0.07% -0.05% +0.53% +0.53% +0.00% +1.06% -0.24% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $10.31 +0.00% +0.33% +1.12% +1.79% +0.19% +2.57% -0.10% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $10.58 +0.00% -0.71% -0.85% -0.85% -2.08% +0.09% -0.19% -0.19% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $10.56 +0.00% -0.10% +0.05% -0.85% -0.19% +0.28% -0.19% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $10.29 -0.15% +0.05% +0.64% +0.68% +0.39% +1.55% -0.29% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $10.07 +0.19% +0.51% +0.91% +1.50% +1.01% +1.60% +0.01% +0.21% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $10.01 -0.01% +0.03% -0.11% -0.41% +1.79% +2.09% -1.61% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $10.27 -0.15% -0.05% -0.49% +0.05% -1.75% +1.17% -0.87% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $10.6 -0.05% -0.61% -0.85% -1.56% -1.32% +0.09% +0.09% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $10.65 -0.19% -0.85% -0.61% -0.05% -0.85% +0.61% -1.01% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 62.2% Baseline on UNG

The 62.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push UNG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UNG Strategy →

Why Analyze UNG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UNG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UNG historically offers an average upside of +2.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UNG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.2%, UNG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UNG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +80.62%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.