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SLV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 04, 2008
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
48.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.86%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.67%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 306/412

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.33%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -2.09%
Trades: 356/379

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.75%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 366/376

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +2.89%
Worst: -2.62%
Trades: 366/379

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +5.02%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 371/371

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.86%
Best MFE: +5.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, SLV alerts reach +0.86% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.35%
Worst MAE: -1.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, SLV typically reaches +0.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 35.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How SLV compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SLV: -0.03% Sector: -0.01% -0.02%
EOD Gain
SLV: -0.02% Sector: +257.70% -257.73%
Avg MFE
SLV: +0.86% Sector: +1.89% -1.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SLV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:38 $30.23 -0.23% -0.21% -0.26% -1.47% -3.04% +0.15% -0.07% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:25 $29.18 -0.03% +0.19% +0.02% +0.34% +0.96% +1.03% -0.21% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:54 $29.19 +0.09% +0.12% -0.03% +0.14% +0.51% +0.96% -0.41% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:55 $28.77 +0.38% +0.59% +0.63% +0.75% +0.80% +1.18% -0.03% +0.31% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:07 $29.15 +0.34% +0.38% +0.69% +0.53% +0.17% +0.72% -0.03% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:41 $29.58 -0.17% -0.03% -0.30% +0.14% -1.86% +0.54% -0.39% -0.03% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:28:23 $29.22 -0.03% +0.07% -0.86% -0.39% +0.55% +0.65% -1.08% +0.07% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:27:36 $29.37 +0.10% +0.03% +0.34% +0.56% -0.07% +0.87% -0.07% -0.03% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:27 $29.0 +0.36% +0.55% +0.66% +1.24% +0.76% +1.66% +0.07% +0.38% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:28 $28.59 -0.07% -0.16% +0.38% -0.91% +0.28% +0.91% -1.36% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:15 $28.75 -0.05% -0.31% -0.07% - -0.83% +0.33% -0.57% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:27 $28.69 -0.24% -0.14% -0.24% +0.19% +0.10% +0.73% -0.56% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:01 $28.03 +0.18% +0.18% +0.57% -0.11% -0.11% +0.64% - +0.11% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:28 $27.51 -0.06% +0.04% -0.22% +0.51% +0.44% +0.91% -0.45% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:44 $27.5 -0.15% +0.62% +0.55% +0.49% -0.15% +0.87% -0.25% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:38 $28.0 -0.36% -0.08% -0.46% +0.05% -0.32% +0.29% -0.70% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:13 $27.54 -0.25% -0.11% -0.04% -0.29% +0.84% +0.87% -0.46% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:43 $27.98 -0.21% -0.21% -0.18% -0.18% +0.25% +0.64% -0.57% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:58 $27.95 -0.21% -0.04% -0.03% -0.14% +0.32% +0.43% -0.36% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:07 $27.49 +0.11% +0.36% +0.58% +0.69% +0.44% +0.96% -0.13% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SLV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.9% win rate and -0.02% average gain, SLV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SLV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SLV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SLV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SLV historically offers an average upside of +0.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SLV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.9%, SLV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SLV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SLV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.02%). This suggests SLV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.