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KOLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 697 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (SIC 6221)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Oct 06, 2011
📊
697
Total Alerts
🎯
50.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +3.63%
Worst: -3.35%
Trades: 339/349

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +12.33%
Worst: -5.88%
Trades: 319/369

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.5%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +15.24%
Worst: -6.83%
Trades: 351/338

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +18.00%
Worst: -12.58%
Trades: 347/346

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.4%
Avg Gain: -6.74%
Avg Winner: +38.80%
Avg Loser: -28.65%
Best: +955.49%
Worst: -58.98%
Trades: 226/470

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.04%
Best MFE: +34.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, KOLD alerts reach +4.04% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.52%
Worst MAE: -9.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 33 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 697 alerts, KOLD typically reaches +4.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 697
Gap Up % 43.8%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How KOLD compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KOLD: -0.01% Sector: -0.01% +0.00%
EOD Gain
KOLD: -6.69% Sector: +257.70% -264.39%
Avg MFE
KOLD: +4.03% Sector: +1.89% +2.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KOLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:47 $26.71 -0.17% -1.53% -1.35% -0.94% -0.97% +0.49% +0.19% -0.04% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:56 $26.75 -0.75% -0.75% -0.79% -2.19% +3.85% +4.86% -4.45% -0.30% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:40 $28.58 -0.10% -0.37% +0.56% +0.72% - +3.71% -0.59% +0.21% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:07 $29.01 +0.09% -1.14% -0.41% +0.10% +0.52% +1.38% -2.65% -0.03% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:06 $31.65 +0.98% +1.23% +0.98% -1.33% -3.95% +1.90% - +0.57% WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:21 $32.17 -1.31% -2.02% -2.07% -0.59% +2.92% +3.64% -2.24% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:57 $33.09 -0.51% -0.80% -0.42% -1.63% -4.29% +0.57% -1.07% +0.06% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:30 $35.43 -0.28% -1.27% -1.81% -2.82% -9.79% +0.03% -0.31% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:32 $35.97 -0.33% -0.61% -1.47% -2.95% -2.86% +0.25% +0.06% +0.08% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:51 $33.8 +0.24% +0.36% -0.41% +0.33% -3.14% +0.95% -1.42% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:15 $41.38 +0.03% -0.27% +0.56% +0.77% -2.80% +1.11% -1.18% - WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:01 $38.75 +0.67% +0.34% +0.52% -0.74% +4.34% +5.73% -2.17% +0.34% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:23 $37.98 -0.03% +0.84% +0.97% +2.46% -0.71% +4.32% -0.50% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:51 $38.46 +0.23% -0.75% -2.34% -0.40% +3.74% +4.03% -2.81% +0.31% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:02 $35.99 -0.64% +0.39% -0.33% +1.28% +0.42% +4.17% -0.86% -0.50% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:40 $33.53 +0.03% +0.72% +0.89% +1.83% -2.54% +2.42% -0.39% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:10 $30.54 +0.29% +0.90% -0.49% -1.11% +5.30% +8.38% -1.74% +0.07% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:45 $33.79 -0.86% -0.68% -1.24% -0.27% -7.67% +0.92% -1.45% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:23 $33.45 -0.45% -0.55% -0.27% +0.60% +2.54% +4.22% -1.23% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:11 $31.6 +0.79% +0.13% -1.27% -0.89% +2.22% +3.04% -3.16% +0.95% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.5% Baseline on KOLD

The 50.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KOLD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KOLD Strategy →

Why Analyze KOLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KOLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KOLD historically offers an average upside of +4.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KOLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.5%, KOLD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KOLD performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.