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ABUS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2023-04-25

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 26, 2007 🔗 www.arbutusbio.com
💰 Market Cap: $780.8M 👥 Employees: 44
Arbutus Biopharma Corp is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on infectious diseases. The company is leveraging its extensive virology expertise to identify and develop novel therapeutics with distinct mechanisms of action, which can be combined to provide a functional cure for patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (cHBV). Its pipeline of internally developed, proprietary compounds includes an RNAi therapeutic, imdusiran (AB-729), and an oral PD-L1 inhibitor, AB-101. In addition, the company is also focused on maximizing the opportunity for its in-house developed Lipid Nanoparticle (LNP) delivery technology.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.37%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+5.64%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +2.61%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 3/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.54%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +4.10%
Worst: -3.77%
Trades: 5/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +3.95%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +5.93%
Worst: -5.40%
Trades: 3/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +5.02%
Avg Loser: -3.93%
Best: +6.74%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 3/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +1.01%
Avg Winner: +6.62%
Avg Loser: -6.00%
Best: +15.44%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.64%
Best MFE: +15.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, ABUS alerts reach +5.64% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.52%
Worst MAE: -6.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 25 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.24:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.24x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, ABUS typically reaches +5.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +0.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ABUS compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ABUS: -0.24% Sector: -0.32% +0.08%
EOD Gain
ABUS: +1.01% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480410.21%
Avg MFE
ABUS: +5.64% Sector: +7.56% -1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABUS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-25 09:27:00 $2.68 +2.61% +4.10% -3.54% -2.98% -5.60% +5.78% -6.72% -2.24% WIN
2023-04-04 09:28:00 $3.04 +0.66% -0.99% -0.82% -0.16% -1.64% +0.99% -0.66% +0.66% WIN
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $2.5 -2.40% -2.00% -1.20% - +1.60% +4.80% -3.60% -0.80% LOSS
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $2.13 -0.47% +0.47% -0.23% +1.64% +4.23% +4.23% -0.70% - LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $3.52 +0.57% -3.77% -5.40% -9.09% -9.09% +3.41% -1.70% -0.57% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $2.85 -1.40% +3.51% +5.93% +6.67% +15.44% +15.44% -2.21% +0.53% LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $3.04 -0.66% +1.64% +4.11% +6.74% +5.92% +8.22% -0.99% -0.99% LOSS
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $3.13 -0.64% -2.56% -4.15% -6.23% -7.67% +0.80% -0.96% - LOSS
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $2.54 -0.39% +2.95% +1.81% -1.18% +5.91% +7.09% -5.12% +0.79% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.6% Baseline on ABUS

The 55.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ABUS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ABUS Strategy →

Why Analyze ABUS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABUS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABUS historically offers an average upside of +5.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABUS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, ABUS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ABUS performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.37%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.