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ADIL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-20 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 27, 2018 🔗 www.adialpharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.4M 👥 Employees: 7
Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company develops prescription medications for addiction and related disorders. Its lead product is AD04, which is for the treatment of alcohol use disorder. The active ingredient in AD04 is ondansetron, a serotonin-3 antagonist.
📊
29
Total Alerts
🎯
51.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+11.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +3.33%
Avg Loser: -3.55%
Best: +9.17%
Worst: -14.20%
Trades: 15/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -4.97%
Best: +21.74%
Worst: -12.23%
Trades: 13/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.7%
Avg Gain: -1.82%
Avg Winner: +11.90%
Avg Loser: -5.40%
Best: +43.71%
Worst: -17.25%
Trades: 6/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +14.00%
Avg Loser: -6.60%
Best: +38.92%
Worst: -18.87%
Trades: 7/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: +353.87%
Avg Winner: +945.76%
Avg Loser: -8.30%
Best: +2361.99%
Worst: -28.99%
Trades: 11/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.54%
Best MFE: +79.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 53 min

On average, ADIL alerts reach +11.54% profit potential within 53 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.94%
Worst MAE: -19.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.94%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, ADIL typically reaches +11.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +14.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ADIL compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADIL: +0.01% Sector: -0.32% +0.33%
EOD Gain
ADIL: +366.53% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480044.70%
Avg MFE
ADIL: +11.90% Sector: +7.56% +4.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADIL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:29:30 $0.78 -0.19% -2.65% -0.19% - -0.44% +1.28% -5.13% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:29 $0.87 +9.17% +0.06% -2.30% -1.38% -1.26% +9.17% -1.03% -1.03% WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:48 $1.12 +0.89% +2.29% -0.82% -5.46% -0.89% +5.36% -1.79% -0.89% WIN
2024-11-14 09:28:49 $1.14 +7.02% - -9.61% -10.09% - +12.28% -6.14% -3.51% WIN
2024-10-17 09:25:57 $1.01 +0.99% -5.84% -4.84% -4.97% -3.95% +2.97% +1.49% +2.97% WIN
2024-08-13 09:27:10 $0.99 -0.67% -4.71% -2.52% -2.52% -1.56% +0.01% -3.02% +0.01% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:27:48 $1.09 +1.84% +2.57% -5.42% -4.59% -4.59% +5.50% -1.83% -0.92% WIN
2024-07-24 09:29:01 $1.14 +4.39% +0.88% +3.51% +6.99% +4.39% +20.18% -3.51% -0.88% WIN
2024-07-23 09:25:20 $1.67 +0.90% +17.07% +43.71% +38.92% -21.56% +79.64% -7.78% -3.60% WIN
2024-04-12 09:26:12 $2.63 +5.55% +3.09% -3.80% -4.95% -11.41% +9.13% - +1.90% WIN
2024-03-05 09:26:53 $2.83 -2.83% -11.31% -17.25% -10.25% -1.41% +4.95% -19.08% -0.35% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:28:48 $3.2 -2.19% +1.25% -7.81% -5.02% -14.06% +12.50% -4.69% +1.88% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:25:09 $3.22 +5.21% +21.74% -1.55% +3.42% +1.24% +29.50% -8.70% -2.83% WIN
2023-12-20 09:27:00 $1.88 -2.77% -12.23% -9.31% -10.52% -7.97% +4.79% -3.72% -0.53% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $2.34 -1.92% -3.42% -3.40% -6.82% -6.41% +14.96% -9.83% +0.85% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:26:00 $0.26 -1.92% -3.73% -7.73% -11.46% +2174.04% +0.04% -0.54% - LOSS
2023-07-25 09:28:00 $0.25 +1.36% +1.36% +3.09% +7.62% +6.46% +8.85% -4.31% +1.36% WIN
2023-07-24 09:26:00 $0.27 -0.82% -2.11% -1.78% -0.56% +2361.99% +15.09% -2.67% -0.26% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:27:00 $0.27 +4.15% +3.93% +7.33% - +2.44% +7.41% +2.67% +5.63% WIN
2023-07-13 09:25:00 $0.31 +1.08% -1.79% -1.01% -2.22% -5.44% +4.27% -1.73% +1.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.7% Baseline on ADIL

The 51.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADIL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADIL Strategy →

Why Analyze ADIL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADIL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADIL historically offers an average upside of +11.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADIL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.7%, ADIL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADIL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.