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AGEN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 39 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2024-07-19

⚠️ Small sample size (39 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 2000 🔗 www.agenusbio.com
💰 Market Cap: $117.1M 👥 Employees: 316
Agenus Inc is an American clinical-stage company with a pipeline of therapies designed to activate the body's immune system to fight cancer and infections, including immune-modulatory antibodies, adoptive cell therapies through its subsidiary MiNK Therapeutics Inc. and vaccine adjuvants through its subsidiary SaponiQx Inc. This robust product pipeline is supported by company's in-house capabilities, including current good manufacturing practice (cGMP) manufacturing and a clinical operations platform. The company's antibody candidates are botensilimab (a proprietary next-generation Fc-engineered CTLA-4 antibody, also known as AGEN1811) and balstilimab (a PD-1 antibody).
📊
39
Total Alerts
🎯
82.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1362.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +6.20%
Worst: -5.71%
Trades: 16/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.60%
Avg Winner: +3.31%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: +7.85%
Worst: -10.13%
Trades: 17/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +4.58%
Avg Loser: -3.77%
Best: +15.26%
Worst: -12.82%
Trades: 16/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +4.85%
Avg Loser: -5.41%
Best: +19.07%
Worst: -13.96%
Trades: 19/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.1%
Avg Gain: +1362.12%
Avg Winner: +1661.60%
Avg Loser: -6.91%
Best: +2180.00%
Worst: -15.63%
Trades: 32/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.35%
Best MFE: +23.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, AGEN alerts reach +5.35% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.18%
Worst MAE: -12.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.45:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 39 alerts, AGEN typically reaches +5.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 39
Gap Up % 28.2%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +5.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How AGEN compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGEN: -0.53% Sector: -0.41% -0.12%
EOD Gain
AGEN: +1362.12% Sector: +1233.50% +128.62%
Avg MFE
AGEN: +5.35% Sector: +6.69% -1.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-19 09:26:41 $7.1 +1.69% -1.28% -3.87% -5.35% -15.63% +2.68% -1.41% -1.41% WIN
2024-07-18 09:28:53 $7.07 -0.99% +1.20% +15.26% +19.07% +3.25% +23.05% -12.00% -1.56% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:27:00 $0.83 - +0.02% -0.58% -0.02% +1817.59% +0.88% -1.81% -0.02% -
2023-12-26 09:26:00 $0.79 +1.36% +4.18% +3.49% +2.71% +1990.18% +5.59% +0.61% +0.75% WIN
2023-12-14 09:26:00 $0.82 +2.61% +0.33% -1.08% -0.85% -7.23% +3.66% -0.02% -0.02% WIN
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $0.77 -5.71% -4.42% -8.49% -12.91% +1666.23% +1.21% -2.45% -1.30% LOSS
2023-11-07 09:27:00 $0.8 +2.36% +4.26% +7.33% +7.10% +1947.68% +8.39% -0.14% -0.14% WIN
2023-11-01 09:27:00 $0.81 -1.38% -1.90% -2.63% -0.24% +1951.12% +3.91% -4.11% -2.46% LOSS
2023-10-25 09:27:00 $0.75 +0.29% +4.88% +0.82% +5.21% +3.73% +8.01% -2.21% +0.51% WIN
2023-10-23 09:27:00 $0.93 -3.84% -6.13% -0.17% +0.81% +1781.94% +2.15% -6.37% -1.76% LOSS
2023-10-05 09:27:00 $1.01 +1.98% +2.97% +0.99% +1.49% +1979.21% +4.95% - - WIN
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $1.22 -1.64% -3.69% -3.69% +1.23% +1850.82% +4.10% -4.92% +0.82% LOSS
2023-08-28 09:27:00 $1.31 +1.70% +2.86% +1.91% +2.67% +2006.87% +6.11% - - WIN
2023-08-21 09:25:00 $1.58 -4.43% -10.13% -12.82% -13.29% +1697.47% - -1.90% -1.27% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:29:00 $1.35 +1.48% +5.19% +6.59% +6.66% +2077.78% +18.52% -1.48% - WIN
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $1.27 +0.39% +5.57% +2.36% - +1915.75% +6.29% - +3.15% WIN
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $1.38 -3.99% -7.25% -6.53% -13.96% +1711.59% +0.01% +0.01% -0.72% LOSS
2023-07-03 09:26:00 $1.61 -0.62% -0.75% -0.70% -0.31% +1788.20% +0.93% -1.86% +0.62% LOSS
2023-06-16 09:29:00 $1.75 +1.71% +1.71% +2.25% +0.57% +1.14% +4.00% +1.71% +3.43% WIN
2023-06-14 09:26:00 $1.95 +0.51% - +0.26% +1.62% -6.15% +2.31% -1.03% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.1% Baseline on AGEN

The 82.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AGEN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AGEN Strategy →

Why Analyze AGEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGEN historically offers an average upside of +5.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AGEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.1%, AGEN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AGEN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1362.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.