FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

OCGN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 332 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 03, 2014 🔗 www.ocugen.com
💰 Market Cap: $543.4M 👥 Employees: 95
Ocugen Inc company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies and vaccines that improve health and offer hope for patients across the globe. The company's pipeline includes Modifier Gene Therapy Platform, Novel Biologic Therapy for Retinal Diseases, Regenerative Medicine Cell Therapy Platform, Inhaled Mucosal Vaccine Platform. The company is developing a modifier gene therapy platform designed to fulfill unmet medical needs related to retinal diseases, including inherited retinal diseases ("IRDs"), such as RP, LCA, Stargardt disease, and multifactorial diseases such as dAMD and Geographic Atrophy ("GA").
📊
332
Total Alerts
🎯
42.8%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.61%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +4.65%
Worst: -6.66%
Trades: 101/219

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.7%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -2.32%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 122/203

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +10.92%
Worst: -12.99%
Trades: 131/195

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.8%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -3.38%
Best: +15.11%
Worst: -19.02%
Trades: 142/188

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.8%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +4.26%
Avg Loser: -4.27%
Best: +18.35%
Worst: -18.83%
Trades: 142/185

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.63%
Best MFE: +19.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, OCGN alerts reach +3.63% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.85%
Worst MAE: -9.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.97:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 332 alerts, OCGN typically reaches +3.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 332
Gap Up % 29.2%
Avg Gap -0.40%
Best Gap +2.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How OCGN compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OCGN: -0.63% Sector: -0.41% -0.22%
EOD Gain
OCGN: -0.56% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.06%
Avg MFE
OCGN: +3.63% Sector: +6.69% -3.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OCGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:35 $0.69 -0.74% -1.15% -0.73% +1.47% +2.58% +3.63% -2.16% -0.73% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:18 $0.68 -1.68% +0.18% -0.84% -2.94% -2.65% +0.19% -3.94% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:54 $0.72 -0.78% -1.32% -0.72% +0.31% +0.04% +3.61% -2.69% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:14 $0.81 -3.84% -5.79% -5.19% -6.20% -9.37% +0.01% +0.01% -3.31% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:52 $0.76 -4.54% -3.17% -1.93% -3.02% -1.33% +1.26% -5.24% -3.26% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:26 $0.74 -1.16% -4.05% -2.70% -1.38% -3.38% +0.20% -1.22% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:06 $0.76 -0.91% -4.58% -7.80% -7.28% -4.08% -0.12% -0.12% -1.30% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:50 $0.8 -4.11% -4.69% -6.05% -5.88% -6.09% +1.24% -3.70% - LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:05 $0.86 -4.50% -7.57% -5.77% -7.40% -8.53% -2.56% -4.65% -2.78% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:32 $0.9 +2.22% +1.11% +0.97% -0.66% -2.66% +4.03% +0.22% +1.11% WIN
2025-01-06 09:29:16 $0.94 -1.57% -3.16% -3.56% -4.66% -4.27% +0.84% -3.12% +0.84% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:25:54 $1.0 -1.91% -1.93% -4.20% -5.77% -10.36% +0.21% -2.80% -1.07% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:26:47 $0.86 +4.65% +4.31% +10.92% +10.74% +5.09% +13.11% -1.32% +1.00% WIN
2024-12-30 09:29:29 $0.87 -1.39% -1.81% -4.72% -4.61% -7.28% +0.48% -1.97% -0.24% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:26:24 $0.85 +0.22% +1.06% +0.98% +3.97% +0.07% +5.14% -3.95% -1.87% WIN
2024-11-20 09:29:25 $0.9 -2.89% -2.78% -2.31% -1.32% +2.06% +4.44% -5.18% -2.22% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:29:16 $1.08 - -1.85% -5.52% -7.37% -8.69% +4.63% -7.41% +0.93% -
2024-11-07 09:25:35 $1.09 -1.47% -0.92% - -3.21% -0.92% +0.92% -3.67% -1.83% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:52 $0.97 -1.17% -1.60% -1.85% +0.58% +2.11% +2.94% -2.36% -0.14% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:29:53 $0.96 -1.09% +5.22% +4.70% +3.46% +5.22% +8.34% -3.01% -1.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OCGN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.8% win rate and -0.61% average gain, OCGN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider OCGN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze OCGN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OCGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OCGN historically offers an average upside of +3.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OCGN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.8%, OCGN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests OCGN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OCGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.61%). This suggests OCGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.