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RXRX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 147 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-12 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 16, 2021 🔗 www.recursion.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.46B 👥 Employees: 800
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. The company is decoding biology by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering, with the goal of radically improving the lives of patients and industrializing drug discovery.
📊
147
Total Alerts
🎯
49.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: -10.08%
Trades: 58/87

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +9.38%
Worst: -19.39%
Trades: 71/72

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -3.30%
Best: +11.01%
Worst: -24.00%
Trades: 72/74

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.59%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: +14.38%
Worst: -25.96%
Trades: 69/77

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.1%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +5.12%
Avg Loser: -4.59%
Best: +17.28%
Worst: -19.79%
Trades: 59/88

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.58%
Best MFE: +22.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 92 min

On average, RXRX alerts reach +4.58% profit potential within 92 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.83%
Worst MAE: -10.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 147 alerts, RXRX typically reaches +4.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 147
Gap Up % 35.4%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +1.64%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How RXRX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RXRX: -0.46% Sector: -0.41% -0.05%
EOD Gain
RXRX: -0.69% Sector: +1233.50% -1234.19%
Avg MFE
RXRX: +4.58% Sector: +6.69% -2.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RXRX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:08 $9.14 +2.08% +5.47% +3.61% +6.98% +15.21% +17.67% -1.09% +0.33% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:23 $8.31 -1.55% -3.13% -2.89% -2.57% +2.29% +2.41% -4.45% -0.60% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:37 $7.45 -0.13% +2.31% +3.96% +5.97% +11.95% +12.62% -0.94% -0.27% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:29 $7.48 +1.74% +4.28% +4.28% +1.20% +2.41% +5.75% -0.53% - WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:17 $7.72 -0.21% +0.26% +2.05% +0.49% -0.91% +4.92% -1.94% -0.39% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:27 $7.35 +0.61% +4.76% +4.23% +2.52% +1.90% +7.21% -1.02% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:18 $8.14 -1.84% -1.23% -2.58% -3.87% -11.06% +1.72% -3.19% - LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:19 $7.77 -1.35% +2.19% -0.19% +4.25% +1.93% +5.92% -2.19% -0.90% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:58 $7.37 +1.90% +1.70% +2.99% +1.22% +3.26% +5.43% -0.95% +0.54% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:52 $6.92 +0.29% +1.30% +2.09% +3.31% +4.77% +6.34% -0.43% +0.29% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:35 $7.97 -1.07% -1.38% -4.14% -1.07% -9.16% +0.13% -0.25% -0.75% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:30 $7.43 +0.94% +1.21% +0.87% -1.35% +3.50% +6.19% -2.42% -0.67% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:33 $7.42 +2.56% +2.36% +0.54% +1.35% -3.50% +4.45% -0.13% - WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:23 $7.04 +0.71% -1.28% -1.63% +0.85% +5.54% +6.39% -2.13% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:58 $6.99 -2.04% - +3.08% +3.43% +0.57% +4.86% -3.86% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:40 $7.66 +2.10% +1.46% +0.98% +4.37% -4.31% +7.83% -0.78% -0.26% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:16 $7.22 +0.83% +2.35% +1.11% +0.89% +4.29% +6.93% -1.11% +0.28% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:54 $7.24 +5.11% +5.61% +10.43% +6.56% +3.45% +11.19% -0.97% -0.97% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:07 $6.75 -0.81% +0.73% +2.98% +2.51% +1.93% +6.22% -1.27% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:10 $6.59 +0.91% +0.53% +1.29% +0.15% -0.91% +3.03% -0.83% -0.46% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RXRX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, RXRX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RXRX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RXRX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RXRX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RXRX historically offers an average upside of +4.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RXRX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.0%, RXRX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RXRX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RXRX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.10%). This suggests RXRX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.