Latest signal:
NVAX Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 312 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-13
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, NVAX alerts reach +5.20% profit potential within 116 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.89%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 312 alerts, NVAX typically reaches +5.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
How NVAX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical NVAX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | 09:28:39 | $8.9 | -4.49% | -5.24% | -3.99% | -5.39% | -3.31% | - | -2.02% | -0.22% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:26:39 | $9.48 | +0.11% | -1.37% | -2.48% | -4.48% | -1.74% | +0.74% | -1.42% | -0.32% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:28:34 | $10.51 | -1.90% | -4.01% | -5.04% | -6.52% | -8.61% | +0.57% | -1.24% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-07 | 09:28:16 | $9.98 | +4.76% | +11.82% | +13.38% | +12.98% | +8.42% | +15.73% | -1.00% | -0.30% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:27:57 | $9.03 | +1.00% | +0.44% | -1.00% | +0.64% | +8.08% | +11.13% | -1.33% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:28:45 | $8.97 | +1.56% | +1.78% | +0.28% | +0.72% | +1.56% | +3.57% | -1.00% | +0.33% | WIN |
| 2024-12-04 | 09:28:52 | $8.59 | -1.40% | -2.10% | -2.37% | -3.84% | -3.38% | -0.47% | -2.79% | -0.70% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:29:02 | $7.18 | -2.09% | -3.06% | -2.16% | -0.69% | +1.95% | +2.22% | -5.15% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:25:04 | $7.8 | -0.90% | -0.83% | -2.19% | -1.96% | -7.44% | +1.79% | -3.21% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:29:14 | $8.01 | +6.49% | +0.50% | +3.50% | +6.93% | +5.62% | +11.11% | -1.50% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:26:58 | $9.88 | +4.45% | -2.17% | -6.88% | -7.19% | -8.81% | +5.16% | -2.83% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:27:48 | $9.04 | -2.77% | -5.65% | -4.19% | +0.22% | -0.89% | +2.54% | -1.99% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-17 | 09:26:00 | $10.2 | -1.37% | -1.13% | -0.15% | -1.67% | +1.47% | +2.11% | -3.24% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-16 | 09:29:44 | $10.44 | -4.21% | -5.84% | -3.93% | -2.01% | -2.78% | +2.20% | -7.85% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-09 | 09:28:29 | $13.45 | -3.49% | -3.35% | -4.61% | -2.97% | -5.72% | -0.74% | -2.75% | -2.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:29:45 | $14.59 | +0.03% | -1.75% | -2.95% | -1.65% | -6.72% | +0.77% | -0.96% | -0.89% | WIN |
| 2024-10-03 | 09:29:43 | $14.11 | +1.74% | +1.98% | +1.91% | +1.42% | +2.20% | +6.95% | -0.71% | -0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-09-03 | 09:28:35 | $12.42 | +3.64% | +4.43% | +5.56% | +5.14% | +2.01% | +6.28% | -1.12% | -1.05% | WIN |
| 2024-08-20 | 09:26:02 | $13.71 | -0.66% | -0.07% | -0.18% | -1.93% | -5.03% | +0.66% | -1.46% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-19 | 09:27:10 | $13.16 | -1.37% | +0.38% | -1.03% | +1.37% | +5.62% | +7.07% | -3.12% | -0.57% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 45.2% Baseline on NVAX
The 45.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NVAX's performance to 75%+.
Optimize NVAX Strategy →Why Analyze NVAX with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVAX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVAX historically offers an average upside of +5.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 NVAX Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 45.2%, NVAX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NVAX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.