AIRO Analysis: 40.0% Win Rate

Ticker Report — Active Last signal · March 02, 2026

🏢 Company Profile

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIRCRAFT (SIC 3721)

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 13, 2025 🔗 www.theairogroup.com

💰 Market Cap: $246.2M 👥 Employees: 223

AIRO Group Holdings Inc is an aerospace, autonomy, and air mobility platform targeting aerospace and defense opportunities. The company is organized into four operating segments: Drones, which derive maximum revenue, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones. The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The Training segment provides military pilot training. The Electric Air Mobility segment is developing a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo and passenger use for fixed route flights, on-demand trips, and Others. Geographically, it operates in United States, which derives majority revenue, and Europe.

Total alerts

Trade-Ideas signal history

Win rate · 15MIN

40.0%

Best timeframe baseline

Avg gain · 15MIN

-0.35%

Per-alert expectancy

Best trade

+1.02%

Single-alert top outcome

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: +0.03%

Avg Winner: +0.47%

Avg Loser: -0.11%

Best: +0.47%

Worst: -0.18%

Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%

Avg Gain: -0.35%

Avg Winner: +0.52%

Avg Loser: -0.93%

Best: +1.02%

Worst: -1.82%

Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: -1.14%

Avg Winner: +0.63%

Avg Loser: -1.59%

Best: +0.63%

Worst: -2.28%

Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -1.55%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -1.55%

Best: -0.80%

Worst: -2.64%

Trades: 0/5

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

5 alerts

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: +0.03%

Last 30 Days

5 alerts

Win Rate: 20.0%

Avg Gain: +0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AIRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2026-03-02	None	$9.9	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-01-20	None	$12.69	+0.47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-01-09	None	$12.36	-0.16%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-01-08	None	$11.3	-0.18%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-01-06	None	$10.71	-0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AIRO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.35% average gain, AIRO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AIRO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AIRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AIRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AIRO historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AIRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, AIRO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AIRO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AIRO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.35%). This suggests AIRO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.

$AIRO