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ACHR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 276 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-28 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Archer Aviation Inc. AIRCRAFT (SIC 3721)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 17, 2021 🔗 www.archer.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.32B 👥 Employees: 1,148
Archer Aviation Inc advances the benefits of sustainable air mobility. The company is engaged in designing and developing a fully electric vertical takeoff and landing eVTOL aircraft for use in UAM networks. It is creating an electric airline that moves people throughout cities in a quick, safe, sustainable, and cost-effective manner.
📊
276
Total Alerts
🎯
48.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.8%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +10.19%
Worst: -11.37%
Trades: 118/156

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +12.41%
Worst: -15.93%
Trades: 124/148

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +13.37%
Worst: -21.04%
Trades: 130/141

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +3.57%
Avg Loser: -3.20%
Best: +14.78%
Worst: -23.99%
Trades: 133/142

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +4.89%
Avg Loser: -3.67%
Best: +26.27%
Worst: -24.51%
Trades: 117/157

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.40%
Best MFE: +28.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, ACHR alerts reach +4.40% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -7.37%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.45:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 276 alerts, ACHR typically reaches +4.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 276
Gap Up % 27.2%
Avg Gap -0.38%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT

How ACHR compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ACHR: -0.13% Sector: -0.19% +0.06%
EOD Gain
ACHR: -0.02% Sector: +8902.10% -8902.11%
Avg MFE
ACHR: +4.40% Sector: +3.61% +0.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:41 $9.62 +2.01% -0.78% +0.13% +2.08% +7.59% +8.11% -2.08% +0.31% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:00 $9.47 -0.32% +0.11% +2.59% +7.93% +0.53% +8.76% -1.58% -0.74% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:24 $9.32 +1.50% +1.47% +0.60% +0.21% +0.43% +4.18% -2.04% +0.11% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:58 $9.47 -2.52% -1.85% -0.37% +2.32% -1.90% +4.96% -3.38% +0.42% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:15 $9.19 -1.20% +0.76% +4.73% +3.86% +10.99% +12.19% -2.29% -0.44% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:19 $9.18 +2.29% +3.81% +3.21% +3.00% -1.74% +5.56% -0.76% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:35 $9.25 +1.37% +0.92% -1.41% -0.86% -1.08% +2.27% -1.62% -0.11% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:42 $9.25 -1.14% -1.51% -1.30% +0.27% -1.08% +5.30% -2.05% +0.76% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:26:24 $9.32 -0.70% +0.21% +0.91% +1.18% -1.61% +2.15% -1.72% -0.21% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:37 $8.86 -0.61% -1.62% -0.68% +1.47% +3.61% +4.91% -2.37% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:34 $9.31 +2.47% +2.20% +3.06% +7.57% +1.50% +9.34% -0.21% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:59 $9.12 +1.21% +2.74% +0.88% +0.49% +1.64% +3.29% -1.21% -0.44% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:21 $9.14 +1.64% +1.09% +0.60% +0.49% -1.09% +3.23% -0.66% +0.44% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:14 $9.31 -1.56% -2.15% -2.79% -1.75% -1.61% +0.10% -0.11% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:49 $9.5 -1.47% -0.84% +1.79% +0.79% -3.58% +2.32% -2.11% -1.05% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:35 $9.98 +3.20% +1.40% +2.10% +3.66% -0.10% +6.21% -1.00% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:32 $9.62 +0.62% +0.78% -0.83% +0.10% +2.81% +3.33% -2.29% -1.14% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:44 $9.69 -1.96% -0.83% +0.93% +2.27% +0.83% +5.06% -2.99% +0.21% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:22 $9.03 +0.78% +3.79% +4.43% +3.44% +7.42% +9.97% -2.33% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:40 $9.27 -0.54% -1.05% -0.43% -1.96% -4.85% +1.94% -3.45% -0.97% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.2% Baseline on ACHR

The 48.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ACHR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ACHR Strategy →

Why Analyze ACHR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACHR historically offers an average upside of +4.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, ACHR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ACHR performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.