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BA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 365 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-03

🏢 Company Profile

Boeing Company AIRCRAFT (SIC 3721)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 23, 1952 🔗 www.boeing.com
💰 Market Cap: $197.45B 👥 Employees: 172,000
Boeing is a major aerospace and defense firm operating in three segments: commercial airplanes; defense, space, and security; and global services. Boeing's commercial airplanes segment competes with Airbus in the production of aircraft that can carry more than 130 passengers. Boeing's defense, space, and security segment competes with defense contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to create military aircraft, satellites, and weaponry. Global services provides aftermarket support to airlines.
📊
365
Total Alerts
🎯
53.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.04%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.59%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 181/183

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: -4.68%
Trades: 176/188

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -5.84%
Trades: 195/169

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -8.32%
Trades: 177/187

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +7.11%
Worst: -8.98%
Trades: 193/172

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.69%
Best MFE: +8.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, BA alerts reach +1.69% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.67%
Worst MAE: -4.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 365 alerts, BA typically reaches +1.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 365
Gap Up % 39.7%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +0.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT

How BA compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BA: -0.03% Sector: -0.19% +0.16%
EOD Gain
BA: -0.01% Sector: +8902.10% -8902.11%
Avg MFE
BA: +1.69% Sector: +3.61% -1.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:27:54 $172.91 +2.59% +1.06% +0.85% +1.23% +1.71% +3.06% -0.01% +0.69% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:51 $181.41 +1.17% +1.18% +0.13% +3.19% -2.00% +3.90% -0.37% -0.06% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:05 $176.49 +0.61% +1.61% +1.80% +1.39% -0.24% +2.23% -1.20% -0.28% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:31 $169.11 -0.09% +0.08% -0.45% -1.07% -1.72% +0.52% -0.60% -0.06% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:28:57 $171.7 -1.15% -0.27% -0.69% -0.53% +0.03% +1.21% -1.22% -0.32% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:00 $172.55 +0.77% -0.25% -0.85% -1.21% -1.03% +0.81% -0.09% +0.55% WIN
2025-01-03 09:26:01 $171.11 +0.80% +1.55% +0.66% +0.49% -0.71% +1.68% -0.01% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:38 $178.52 -0.31% -0.96% -2.20% -3.14% -3.73% +0.38% -0.25% -0.12% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:26:59 $173.9 -1.83% -0.26% +0.30% -0.49% +1.52% +2.46% -2.16% -0.10% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:29:29 $178.5 +0.02% -1.09% -0.44% -1.27% -0.45% +0.64% -0.38% -0.21% WIN
2024-12-20 09:28:58 $176.27 +0.59% +1.13% +0.33% +1.21% +0.61% +3.25% -0.54% +0.33% WIN
2024-12-19 09:28:43 $175.84 -0.37% -0.55% -0.07% -0.93% +0.68% +2.13% -1.21% -0.48% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:28:43 $173.26 +0.29% +1.37% +0.83% -0.55% -0.13% +1.46% -0.34% -0.13% WIN
2024-12-16 09:28:03 $168.56 -0.72% -0.65% +0.17% +0.85% +2.73% +3.94% -1.46% -0.28% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:27:04 $168.5 -0.85% +0.59% +0.01% -0.15% +0.68% +1.15% -1.29% -0.30% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:26:15 $168.65 -0.55% -1.19% -0.62% -0.14% -0.53% +0.16% -0.15% -0.25% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:29:50 $165.97 +1.02% +1.39% +0.83% +0.85% -0.01% +2.01% -0.28% -0.27% WIN
2024-12-10 09:27:49 $160.02 +0.63% +0.52% +1.02% +2.88% +2.55% +4.16% -0.38% -0.01% WIN
2024-12-02 09:28:32 $156.02 +0.59% +0.56% +1.01% +1.58% +0.33% +2.78% -0.21% -0.07% WIN
2024-11-25 09:28:53 $150.55 +0.85% +1.52% +0.62% +0.58% +1.69% +1.81% -0.03% +0.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.6% win rate, BA has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BA profitable.

🔧 Fix BA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze BA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BA historically offers an average upside of +1.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.6%, BA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.12%) outweigh average wins (+0.90%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.04%). This suggests BA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.