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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ARDX

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.6% at EOD n=244 2022-01-03 → 2026-09-22

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 19, 2014 🔗 www.ardelyx.com
💰 Market Cap: $862.3M 👥 Employees: 489
Ardelyx Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing and commercialize, first-in-class medicines that meet unmet medical needs. It has developed a platform that enabled the discovery of new biological mechanisms and pathways to develop potent and efficacious therapies that minimize the side effects and drug-drug interactions frequently encountered with traditional, systemically absorbed medicines. Its products Tenapanor, branded as IBSRELA, is used for the treatment of adults with IBS-C. Tenapanor, branded as XPHOZAH, is used to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with CKD on dialysis as add-on therapy in patients who have an inadequate response to phosphate binders or who are intolerant of any dose of phosphate binder therapy.
Total alerts
244
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
48.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.63%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ARDX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable ARDX setups

Historical ARDX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +12.70%
Worst: -7.04%
Trades: 96/135

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +42.86%
Worst: -12.68%
Trades: 110/126

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -2.81%
Best: +28.57%
Worst: -9.72%
Trades: 114/123

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +20.63%
Worst: -14.69%
Trades: 107/136

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +4.70%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +20.17%
Worst: -16.31%
Trades: 118/122

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.63%
Best MFE: +48.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, ARDX alerts reach +4.63% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.87%
Worst MAE: -14.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 243 alerts, ARDX typically reaches +4.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 243
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +5.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ARDX compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARDX: -0.27% Sector: -0.28% +0.01%
EOD Gain
ARDX: +0.27% Sector: +2912438.65% -2912438.39%
Avg MFE
ARDX: +4.63% Sector: +7.28% -2.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $3.55 -0.56% -0.42% +0.26% -1.13% +1.97% +2.25% -2.25% -0.28% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $4.09 -0.49% -0.37% -1.59% -3.18% -2.20% +0.73% -1.47% -0.98% LOSS
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $4.09 +1.49% -1.56% +0.39% +0.64% -2.17% +4.43% -4.62% -0.95% WIN
2026-05-04 09:25:00 $7.06 +3.68% +2.27% +2.27% +0.50% +3.40% +5.24% -1.42% +1.13% WIN
2026-05-01 09:25:00 $6.03 +4.98% +3.40% +7.96% +13.93% +14.10% +17.08% -0.50% -0.50% WIN
2026-03-19 09:25:00 $5.51 -0.36% -0.82% -2.69% -3.54% -0.18% +0.45% -3.81% -0.18% LOSS
2026-03-06 09:25:00 $6.17 -1.78% +0.41% +0.00% +1.38% +0.32% +1.54% -2.11% -0.32% LOSS
2026-02-24 09:25:00 $6.13 +1.55% +1.47% +2.12% -0.24% +7.01% +7.12% -1.14% +1.31% WIN
2026-02-20 09:25:00 $6.35 -5.82% -4.25% -5.43% -5.28% -9.76% +3.15% -0.79% +2.20% LOSS
2026-02-19 09:25:00 $6.89 -2.32% -3.05% -3.85% -1.38% -2.18% +0.00% -0.29% -1.31% LOSS
2026-02-05 09:25:00 $7.26 -0.76% +0.90% +0.55% -1.74% -3.58% +1.10% -1.17% +0.28% LOSS
2026-01-27 09:25:00 $8.0 -0.05% +0.38% -0.50% -1.44% -1.38% +1.43% -1.12% +0.00% LOSS
2026-01-21 09:25:00 $7.9 -1.11% +2.81% +0.35% +1.42% +1.16% +3.44% -1.87% -1.37% LOSS
2026-01-20 09:25:00 $6.95 +2.16% +3.88% +4.80% +8.78% +11.65% +12.23% -1.58% -1.44% WIN
2026-01-09 09:25:00 $7.24 +2.35% +4.28% +5.11% +8.49% +6.91% +11.19% -0.83% +0.76% WIN
2024-11-11 09:27:58 $4.94 -2.02% -5.04% -9.72% -3.24% -0.91% +0.61% -1.21% -0.91% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:34 $5.88 -4.42% -12.68% -8.42% -12.84% -13.78% +0.85% -3.03% -1.87% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:38 $5.85 -1.71% -2.82% -1.71% -0.68% +10.94% +11.45% -2.99% +0.34% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:28:45 $5.99 +2.09% +6.66% +3.92% +3.42% +1.67% +7.51% -1.84% +0.00% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:25 $5.38 +4.66% +2.23% +4.67% +4.55% +8.36% +12.55% +0.37% +1.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 48.6% Baseline on ARDX

The 48.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ARDX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARDX Strategy →

Why Analyze ARDX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARDX historically offers an average upside of +4.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.6%, ARDX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARDX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.