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$ARDX

Trade-Ideas alert history 229 alerts 2022-01-03 β†’ 2024-11-11

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Jun 19, 2014 πŸ”— www.ardelyx.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $1.30B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 489
Ardelyx Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing and commercialize, first-in-class medicines that meet unmet medical needs. It has developed a platform that enabled the discovery of new biological mechanisms and pathways to develop potent and efficacious therapies that minimize the side effects and drug-drug interactions frequently encountered with traditional, systemically absorbed medicines. Its products Tenapanor, branded as IBSRELA, is used for the treatment of adults with IBS-C. Tenapanor, branded as XPHOZAH, is used to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with CKD on dialysis as add-on therapy in patients who have an inadequate response to phosphate binders or who are intolerant of any dose of phosphate binder therapy.
Total alerts
229
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate Β· EOD
48.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain Β· EOD
+0.17%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.62%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ARDX on historical setups β€” browse all patterns across all tickers β†’

Playable ARDX setups

Historical ARDX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.5%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: -1.59%
Best: +12.70%
Worst: -7.04%
Trades: 90/126

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +2.40%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +42.86%
Worst: -12.68%
Trades: 101/120

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -2.81%
Best: +28.57%
Worst: -9.72%
Trades: 105/118

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +3.26%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +20.63%
Worst: -14.69%
Trades: 100/128

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +4.61%
Avg Loser: -4.07%
Best: +20.17%
Worst: -16.31%
Trades: 110/115

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.62%
Best MFE: +48.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, ARDX alerts reach +4.62% profit potential within 128 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.88%
Worst MAE: -14.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.88%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.45:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 228 alerts, ARDX typically reaches +4.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 228
Gap Up % 29.8%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +5.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ARDX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARDX: -0.30% Sector: -0.32% +0.02%
EOD Gain
ARDX: +0.17% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.05%
Avg MFE
ARDX: +4.62% Sector: +7.56% -2.94%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-11 09:27:58 $4.94 -2.02% -5.04% -9.72% -3.24% -0.91% +0.61% -1.21% -0.91% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:34 $5.88 -4.42% -12.68% -8.42% -12.84% -13.78% +0.85% -3.03% -1.87% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:38 $5.85 -1.71% -2.82% -1.71% -0.68% +10.94% +11.45% -2.99% +0.34% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:28:45 $5.99 +2.09% +6.66% +3.92% +3.42% +1.67% +7.51% -1.84% +0.00% WIN
2024-08-05 09:26:25 $5.38 +4.66% +2.23% +4.67% +4.55% +8.36% +12.55% +0.37% +1.30% WIN
2024-08-02 09:26:46 $5.7 -0.47% +1.40% +3.16% +2.46% +6.14% +8.42% -6.67% -0.96% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:26:03 $5.58 -4.84% -6.63% -7.62% -5.38% -4.66% -0.36% -2.69% -0.90% LOSS
2024-07-02 09:29:10 $6.28 +0.00% -2.31% -3.42% -3.90% -15.92% +3.02% -1.75% -0.48% LOSS
2024-06-20 09:27:35 $5.99 -1.84% -2.50% -1.84% -2.67% -1.67% -0.17% -1.17% -0.33% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:29:34 $8.29 -3.14% -3.02% +0.96% +2.11% +5.19% +10.13% -3.74% +0.84% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:25:03 $6.85 +1.61% +1.75% +2.04% +2.04% +4.09% +4.31% +0.00% +0.88% WIN
2024-04-04 09:28:44 $7.39 +0.68% +1.42% -0.41% -0.34% -3.11% +2.44% +0.00% +0.14% WIN
2024-03-25 09:26:36 $7.69 +0.39% +0.59% +1.43% +0.98% +0.13% +2.02% -0.52% +0.00% WIN
2024-03-15 09:29:20 $7.99 +1.38% +1.63% +1.75% +1.19% +1.38% +3.00% -0.13% +0.38% WIN
2024-03-12 09:27:35 $8.56 -0.93% -2.00% -0.88% -0.47% -1.64% +1.28% -2.69% -0.58% LOSS
2024-02-23 09:28:13 $8.2 +4.42% +5.30% +4.15% +3.84% +5.85% +10.79% -0.49% -0.49% WIN
2024-02-22 09:25:25 $8.76 -1.03% -0.11% -1.71% -2.74% +0.68% +1.43% -3.08% -0.46% LOSS
2024-02-21 09:26:34 $8.56 +0.23% +0.12% -1.52% -1.40% -0.70% +0.82% -2.10% -0.93% WIN
2024-02-20 09:28:53 $9.02 +0.31% -1.00% -2.22% -2.11% -5.21% +0.44% -1.31% -0.22% WIN
2024-02-13 09:27:18 $9.43 -2.99% -3.13% -2.81% -2.66% -6.04% -0.32% -4.56% -1.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 48.2% Baseline on ARDX

The 48.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ARDX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARDX Strategy β†’

Why Analyze ARDX with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARDX historically offers an average upside of +4.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š ARDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.2%, ARDX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARDX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.17%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.