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Latest signal:

ASRT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-10 → 2024-12-13

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Assertio Holdings, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 05, 1997 🔗 www.assertiotx.com
💰 Market Cap: $73.9M 👥 Employees: 30
Assertio Holdings Inc is a pharmaceutical company. It is engaged in providing solutions to advance patient care in the areas of neurology, orphan and specialty medicines. The company markets three FDA-approved products for various neurological conditions including Gralise, tablets for the management of postherpetic neuralgia; CAMBIA, for acute treatment of migraine attacks with or without aura in adults of age or older and Zipsor, liquid-filled capsules for relief of mild to moderate pain.
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
57.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.74%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -2.39%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -5.88%
Trades: 9/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +8.53%
Worst: -7.53%
Trades: 10/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -3.16%
Best: +10.17%
Worst: -9.86%
Trades: 10/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.63%
Avg Loser: -4.91%
Best: +13.73%
Worst: -10.73%
Trades: 10/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -7.02%
Best: +16.61%
Worst: -17.05%
Trades: 11/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.71%
Best MFE: +25.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 63 min

On average, ASRT alerts reach +5.71% profit potential within 63 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.30%
Worst MAE: -14.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.73:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, ASRT typically reaches +5.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 42.1%
Avg Gap -0.45%
Best Gap +2.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ASRT compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASRT: -0.54% Sector: -0.32% -0.22%
EOD Gain
ASRT: -0.74% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.96%
Avg MFE
ASRT: +5.71% Sector: +7.56% -1.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASRT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:25:58 $0.95 +2.11% - -1.84% -2.53% -3.16% +3.33% +0.05% +1.11% WIN
2024-11-12 09:27:39 $0.98 -2.69% -6.77% -9.86% -10.73% -12.73% -0.24% -4.23% -4.23% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:25:49 $0.93 +0.92% +0.35% -0.54% +4.02% -0.55% +7.52% -3.24% -3.24% WIN
2024-08-05 09:29:47 $1.2 +0.84% +1.78% +2.08% -0.42% +1.67% +7.50% -3.33% +2.08% WIN
2023-11-09 09:26:00 $1.2 -2.92% -7.53% -4.58% -5.83% +0.83% +1.67% -10.00% -3.33% LOSS
2023-08-07 09:26:00 $2.95 +2.20% +6.79% +10.17% +13.73% +16.61% +25.59% -0.68% -0.68% WIN
2023-08-04 09:27:00 $3.04 -2.47% +8.15% +1.40% +0.36% -4.28% +11.51% -4.61% -1.32% LOSS
2023-05-09 09:29:00 $6.8 -5.88% +1.10% +3.16% +3.82% +2.65% +7.79% -6.91% -0.74% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:27:00 $5.85 +0.60% -0.34% +0.68% +1.62% +1.54% +2.31% -0.85% +0.17% WIN
2023-04-26 09:27:00 $5.29 +0.85% -0.85% -1.70% -7.37% -5.48% +2.65% -0.95% +1.51% WIN
2023-04-25 09:27:00 $5.21 -1.63% +1.75% +4.03% -1.65% +3.07% +6.53% -14.01% +0.58% LOSS
2023-03-06 09:26:00 $6.5 -0.95% -2.60% -5.69% -5.54% -6.00% +0.20% -1.85% -0.46% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:29:00 $5.04 -3.14% -1.40% +0.10% +2.48% +0.40% +3.37% -5.34% +0.60% LOSS
2023-02-21 09:29:00 $4.96 +3.12% +3.23% +3.06% +2.02% +4.44% +6.55% +0.20% +1.31% WIN
2022-12-27 09:25:00 $4.18 -2.63% -2.15% -1.64% -4.43% -6.94% - -0.96% -0.96% LOSS
2022-12-05 09:25:00 $3.2 -1.25% +1.09% +4.03% +0.94% +2.81% +4.22% -1.72% -0.31% LOSS
2022-08-23 09:25:00 $2.65 -0.38% +1.66% -0.57% +1.50% +3.40% +5.28% -2.26% -0.75% LOSS
2022-08-08 09:25:00 $4.4 +0.24% -2.27% -2.05% -5.70% -17.05% +0.91% -2.05% -0.45% WIN
2022-05-10 09:25:00 $2.11 +2.84% +8.53% +9.00% +5.82% +4.74% +11.85% - +0.47% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ASRT Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.9% win rate, ASRT has -0.74% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ASRT profitable.

🔧 Fix ASRT Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ASRT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASRT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASRT historically offers an average upside of +5.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASRT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.9%, ASRT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-7.02%) outweigh average wins (+3.83%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ASRT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.74%). This suggests ASRT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.